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Jackson Financial Inc (JXN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.8B

JF Jackson Financial Inc logo Jackson Financial Inc JXN · US
Price$134.38
Fair Value$5.03
Upside-96.3%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · -6.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $3.77 – $6.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +10.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 96% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$134.56 $19.60 Fair Value $5.03 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range $19.60 – $134.56 · fair‑value band $3.77 – $6.29 · the $134.38 price screens above the $5.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jackson Financial Inc (JXN) currently trades at $134.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.03, implying the stock looks roughly 96.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jackson Financial Inc generated revenue of $5.9B at a net margin of -6.3%. Revenue declined 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.77 (bear case) to $6.29 (bull case); at $134.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at -96%, JXN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $94.43 $87.11 $57.67 76
Gordon GGM $33.62 $67.00 $101.45 70
P/E Multiple $3.77 $5.03 $6.29 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $33.62 $67.00 $101.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage $33.62 $57.90 $70.72 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.77 $5.03 $6.29 63
P/B Multiple $4.94 $6.58 $8.23 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $71.35 $95.62 $142.71 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $94.43 $87.11 $57.67 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($95.62) versus Multiples ($5.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net margin -6.3%
Return on equity -3.2%
Free cash flow $5.8B FY2025
Operating margin 44.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.00
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -31.8%
Net cash $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jackson Financial Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides suite of annuities to retail investors in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Annuities, Institutional Products, and Closed Life and Annuity Blocks.

Full company description

Jackson Financial Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides suite of annuities to retail investors in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Annuities, Institutional Products, and Closed Life and Annuity Blocks. The Retail Annuities segment offers various retirement income and savings products, including variable, fixed index, fixed, and payout annuities, as well as registered index-linked annuities and lifetime income solutions. The Institutional Products segment provides traditional guaranteed investment contracts; funding agreements backed by commercial paper; funding agreements comprising agreements issued in conjunction with its participation in the U.S. federal home loan bank program; and medium-term funding agreement-backed notes. The Closed Life and Annuity Blocks segment offers various protection products, such as whole life, universal life, variable universal life, and term life insurance products, as well as fixed, fixed index, and payout annuities. The company also provides investment management services. It sells its products through a distribution network that includes independent broker-dealers, wirehouses, regional broker-dealers, banks, independent registered investment advisors, third-party platforms, and insurance agents. The company was formerly known as Brooke (Holdco1) Inc. and changed its name to Jackson Financial Inc. in July 2020. Jackson Financial Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Lansing, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jackson Financial Inc reported revenue of $6.7B in FY2025 versus $5.5B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $27.0M in FY2025, compounding −70.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.7B
Latest YoY
+116.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 $5.5B
FY22 $9.7B
FY23 $3.2B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $6.7B
Net income −70.2%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $6.2B
FY23 $934M
FY24 $946M
FY25 $27.0M

JXN screens 96% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jackson Financial Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JXN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −96% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 43
HEALTH 90 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.33 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥52.60 ¥84.72 +61%
Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 HK$343.40 HK$143.17 -58%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 -5%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 302,500 KRW 191,293 KRW -37%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.48 ¥57.51 +89%
Prudential plc PUKN 545.00 MXN 499.36 MXN -8%
New China Life Insurance Company 601336 ¥58.83 ¥99.92 +70%
SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE ₹1,830 ₹293.11 -84%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882B 59.00 TWD 107.71 TWD +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jackson Financial Inc (JXN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.03 versus a price of $134.38, about −96% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JXN?
Our model-based fair value for Jackson Financial Inc is $5.03 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $134.38.
What is the quality score of JXN?
Jackson Financial Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jackson Financial Inc (JXN)?
Jackson Financial Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JXN?
The net profit margin of Jackson Financial Inc is about -6.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jackson Financial Inc pay a dividend?
Jackson Financial Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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