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ING Groep NV (INGA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NL · Market cap €81.1B · ISIN NL0011821202

What is ING Groep NV really worth?

IG ING Groep NV INGA · AS
Price€32.01
Fair Value€26.18
Upside−18.2%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 22% above our fair value of €26.18.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 34.2% net margin
Wide moat 70/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Weak on valuation: 9 out of 100
!Weak on future: 15 out of 100
Evidence: High Range €19.64 – €32.73

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€32.01 €6.05 Fair Value €26.18 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.05 – €32.01 · fair‑value band €19.64 – €32.73 · the €32.01 price screens above the €26.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

ING Groep NV (INGA) currently trades at €32.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €26.18, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €24.33 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the €32.01 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €11.64, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, ING Groep NV generated revenue of €24.6B at a net margin of 34.2%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at €192B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €19.64 (bear case) to €32.73 (bull case); at €32.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −18%, INGA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €1.48 per share, which is 5.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence €16.45 €19.52 €35.58 71
Gordon GGM €12.47 €15.10 €17.94 67
DDM Multi-Stage €12.47 €16.60 €21.75 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €12.47 €15.10 €17.94 67
DDM Multi-Stage €12.47 €16.60 €21.75 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €21.58 €28.77 €35.96 63
P/B Multiple €18.25 €24.33 €30.41 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.69 €11.64 €17.38 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence €16.45 €19.52 €35.58 71

Widest divergence: Multiples (€24.33) versus Asset-Based (€11.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.6
P/S ratio 4.01 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €2.19 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.6
Dividend yield 5.1% payout 74.1%
Net margin 27.5% FY2025
Return on equity 16.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 41.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €24.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9% 3y avg −11.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −€191M FY2025
Net debt €192B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It accepts current and savings accounts; and time deposits.

Full company description

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It accepts current and savings accounts; and time deposits. The company also offers business lending products; SME loans; consumer lending products, such as residential mortgage loans and other consumer lending loans; and mortgages. In addition, it provides working capital solutions; debt and equity market solutions; various loans; payments; and cash management, trade and corporate finance, and treasury services, as well as savings, investment, insurance, and digital banking services. The company serves individual customers, corporate clients, and financial institutions. ING Groep N.V. was founded in 1762 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ING Groep NV reported revenue of €23.0B in FY2025 versus €25.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was €6.3B in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€23.0B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+16.7% (11.6 + 5.1)
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 €25.8B
FY22 €33.6B
FY23 €17.6B
FY24 €22.6B
FY25 €23.0B
Net income +7.3%/yr
FY21 €4.8B
FY22 €3.7B
FY23 €7.3B
FY24 €6.4B
FY25 €6.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.0 %

of which total revenue +3.1 % · buybacks/dilution +1.9 %

EBIT margin +3.0 %
Tax rate +0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

INGA screens 22% overvalued. Compare with JPMorgan Chase & Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ING Groep NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INGA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Diversified · 48 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 3.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.90× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.83× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 23.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE9 · sector 14
FUTURE15 · sector 25
PAST66 · sector 42
HEALTH0 · sector 48
DIVIDEND100 · sector 70

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM $354.22 $217.97 −38%
Bank of America Corporation BAC $61.17 $50.87 −17%
China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 ¥10.55 ¥18.21 +73%
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 ¥7.86 ¥14.44 +84%
HSBC Holdings HSBC $103.14 $75.89 −26%
Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 ¥6.79 ¥12.94 +91%
Royal Bank of Canada RY C$283.11 C$151.80 −46%
Bank of China Limited 601988 ¥6.14 ¥11.24 +83%
Wells Fargo & Company WFC $86.69 $79.60 −8%
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group MUFG $22.90 $20.50 −10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ING Groep NV (INGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €26.18 versus a price of €32.01, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INGA?
Our model-based fair value for ING Groep NV is €26.18 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €32.01.
What is the quality score of INGA?
ING Groep NV has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ING Groep NV (INGA)?
ING Groep NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €24.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INGA?
The net profit margin of ING Groep NV is about 34.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 34.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ING Groep NV pay a dividend?
ING Groep NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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