Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR (MUFG) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $244B · ISIN US6068221042
What is Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR really worth?
A solid business, but trading 18% above our fair value of $20.50.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $20.67 to $20.50 (−0.8%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +10.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.90 – $24.13 · fair‑value band $15.38 – $25.63 · the $24.13 price screens above the $20.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR (MUFG) currently trades at $24.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.50, implying the stock looks roughly 17.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR generated revenue of $8.5T at a net margin of 28.5%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.9T. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.38 (bear case) to $25.63 (bull case); at $24.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −15%, MUFG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,777) versus Asset-Based ($1,329). Highest evidence: Residual Income (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that engages in a range of financial businesses in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally.
Full company description
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that engages in a range of financial businesses in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Digital Services, Retail & Commercial Banking, Japanese Corporate & Investment Banking, Global Commercial Banking, Asset Management & Investor Services, Global Corporate & Investment Banking, and Global Markets. The company offers commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products and services to retail and small-and medium-sized enterprise customers. It also provides mergers and acquisitions, debt and equity issuance, financial advice, and real estate-related services; credit cards; and trust banking and securities products and services, as well as engages in the lending, fund settlement, inheritance, asset management, business and asset succession solutions, and foreign exchange businesses. In addition, the company offers corporate banking services, such as project finance, export credit agency finance, and financing through asset-backed commercial paper; investment and transaction banking services for corporations, financial institutions, sovereign and multinational organizations, and institutional investors; and asset management and investor services, including pension fund management and administration, pension structure advisory, payments to beneficiaries, and investment trust services for retail customers. Further, it provides loans, deposits, fund transfers, hedging, and investment services, as well as corporate customers; finances for automotive and consumer goods; sells and trades in fixed-income instruments, currencies, equities, and equities; offers investment products comprising mutual funds, structured bonds, and notes; originates and distributes of financial products; and provides insurance and treasury services. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥14.2T in FY2026 versus ¥5.2T in FY2022, a compound +28.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.6T in FY2026, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +10.8 % · buybacks/dilution +2.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MUFG screens 18% overvalued. Compare with JPMorgan Chase & Co →
Peer Group
Banks - Diversified · 48 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM | $354.22 | $217.97 | −38% |
| Bank of America Corporation BAC | $61.17 | $50.87 | −17% |
| China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 | ¥10.55 | ¥18.21 | +73% |
| Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 | ¥7.86 | ¥14.44 | +84% |
| HSBC Holdings HSBC | $103.14 | $75.89 | −26% |
| Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 | ¥6.79 | ¥12.94 | +91% |
| Royal Bank of Canada RY | C$283.11 | C$151.80 | −46% |
| Bank of China Limited 601988 | ¥6.14 | ¥11.24 | +83% |
| Wells Fargo & Company WFC | $86.69 | $79.60 | −8% |
| Citigroup Inc C | $132.90 | $117.65 | −11% |
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