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HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹1.2T

HL HDFC Life Insurance Company HDFCLIFE · NSE
Price₹538.05
Fair Value₹114.07
Upside-78.8%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range ₹85.55 – ₹142.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹114.46 to ₹114.07 (−0.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹142.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹808.59 ₹453.92 Fair Value ₹114.07 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹453.92 – ₹808.59 · fair‑value band ₹85.55 – ₹142.58 · the ₹538.05 price screens above the ₹114.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) currently trades at ₹538.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹114.07, implying the stock looks roughly 78.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HDFC Life Insurance Company generated revenue of ₹999B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at ₹11.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹85.55 (bear case) to ₹142.58 (bull case); at ₹538.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at -79%, HDFCLIFE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹74.44 ₹86.05 ₹168.16 76
Gordon GGM ₹22.10 ₹48.25 ₹81.18 70
P/E Multiple ₹85.85 ₹114.46 ₹143.08 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹22.10 ₹48.25 ₹81.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹22.10 ₹39.52 ₹50.28 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹85.85 ₹114.46 ₹143.08 63
P/B Multiple ₹85.81 ₹114.41 ₹143.01 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹40.86 ₹54.75 ₹81.72 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹74.44 ₹86.05 ₹168.16 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹114.41) versus Dividend Discount (₹39.52). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹999B
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.7%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow ₹363B FY2026
P/E ratio 64.9 as of Jun 7, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 1.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹9.14
EPS growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net debt ₹11.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited provides individual and group insurance solutions in India. It offers insurance and investment products, such as protection, pension, savings, investment, annuity, and health, as well as term, investment, and life insurance plans.

Full company description

HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited provides individual and group insurance solutions in India. It offers insurance and investment products, such as protection, pension, savings, investment, annuity, and health, as well as term, investment, and life insurance plans. The company was formerly known as HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Limited changed its name to HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited in January 2019. HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India. HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of HDFC Bank Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

HDFC Life Insurance Company reported revenue of ₹1.0T in FY2026 versus ₹674B in FY2022, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.1B in FY2026, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.0T
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Revenue +10.4%/yr
FY22 ₹674B
FY23 ₹702B
FY24 ₹958B
FY25 ₹901B
FY26 ₹1.0T
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY22 ₹13.3B
FY23 ₹13.7B
FY24 ₹15.7B
FY25 ₹18.1B
FY26 ₹19.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +7.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.0 pp

of which total revenue +15.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin −6.1 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HDFCLIFE screens 79% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HDFC Life Insurance Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HDFCLIFE

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 64.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 51.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 75 · sector 44
PAST 43 · sector 43
HEALTH 91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.33 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥52.60 ¥84.72 +61%
Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 HK$343.40 HK$143.17 -58%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 -5%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 302,500 KRW 191,293 KRW -37%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.48 ¥57.51 +89%
Prudential plc PUKN 545.00 MXN 499.36 MXN -8%
New China Life Insurance Company 601336 ¥58.83 ¥99.92 +70%
SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE ₹1,830 ₹293.11 -84%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882B 59.00 TWD 107.71 TWD +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹114.07 versus a price of ₹538.05, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HDFCLIFE?
Our model-based fair value for HDFC Life Insurance Company is ₹114.07 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹538.05.
What is the quality score of HDFCLIFE?
HDFC Life Insurance Company has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE)?
HDFC Life Insurance Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹999B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HDFCLIFE?
The net profit margin of HDFC Life Insurance Company is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HDFC Life Insurance Company pay a dividend?
HDFC Life Insurance Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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