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Höegh Autoliners ASA (HAUTO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · NO · Market cap 29.5B NOK

HA Höegh Autoliners ASA HAUTO · OL
Pricekr 186.30
Fair Valuekr 42.46
Upside-77.2%
Quality68/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 31.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.19% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: High Range kr 23.18 – kr 56.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +17.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 56.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 23.18 to kr 56.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 186.30 kr 7.97 Fair Value kr 42.46 Nov 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range kr 7.97 – kr 186.30 · fair‑value band kr 23.18 – kr 56.71 · the kr 186.30 price screens above the kr 42.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Höegh Autoliners ASA (HAUTO) currently trades at kr 186.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 42.46, implying the stock looks roughly 77.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Höegh Autoliners ASA generated revenue of 1.5B NOK at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.6%. Net debt stands at 604M NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 23.18 (bear case) to kr 56.71 (bull case); at kr 186.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -77%, HAUTO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (kr 4.48 to kr 68.64). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 16.08 kr 28.15 kr 47.49 80
Residual Income kr 15.69 kr 18.51 kr 71.08 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 9.47 kr 16.24 kr 24.48 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 15.95 kr 28.37 kr 48.42 38
Owner Earnings kr 19.76 kr 34.69 kr 58.79 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 9.47 kr 16.15 kr 24.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 24.28 kr 45.02 kr 70.11 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 28.83 kr 53.88 kr 81.34 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 11.28 kr 18.10 kr 27.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 21.18 kr 38.61 kr 63.51 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 24.12 kr 44.90 kr 72.41 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 18.30 kr 68.64 kr 92.83 54
Lynch FV kr 16.56 kr 23.66 kr 30.76 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 16.56 kr 23.66 kr 30.76 46
EPV kr 21.80 kr 25.93 kr 29.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 19.97 kr 41.53 kr 65.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 19.97 kr 35.02 kr 43.59 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 42.39 kr 56.52 kr 70.66 63
P/S Multiple kr 11.21 kr 14.94 kr 18.68 58
P/B Multiple kr 22.55 kr 30.07 kr 37.59 55
EV/EBIT kr 33.86 kr 46.12 kr 58.38 53
EV/EBITDA kr 31.89 kr 43.49 kr 55.09 54
EV/Revenue kr 6.49 kr 10.53 kr 14.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.34 kr 4.48 kr 6.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 16.08 kr 28.15 kr 47.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 9.47 kr 16.24 kr 24.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 15.69 kr 18.51 kr 71.08 76
ROIC Compounder kr 24.21 kr 32.03 kr 41.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 30.53 kr 43.62 kr 56.71 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 43.62) versus Asset-Based (kr 4.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.3%
Net margin 31.7%
Return on equity 36.6%
Free cash flow 301M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 8.3
More key figures
Operating margin 31.5%
EPS (TTM) kr 22.47
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -33.6%
Net debt 604M NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 92

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Höegh Autoliners ASA provides ocean transportation services within the roll-on roll-off (RoRo) segment for the deep sea and short sea markets in Norway. It operates through two segments, Shipping Services and Logistics Services.

Full company description

Höegh Autoliners ASA provides ocean transportation services within the roll-on roll-off (RoRo) segment for the deep sea and short sea markets in Norway. It operates through two segments, Shipping Services and Logistics Services. The company offers ocean cargo transportation for automobiles; breakbulk; trucks, buses, and trailers; railcars and tramways; mining equipment; agricultural machinery; machinery shipping; construction equipment; power equipment; and boats and yachts. It also provides equipment handling and project cargo logistics services. In addition, the company is involved in terminal-related, management, ship owning, and crewing office activities, as well as the establishment of SPVs for entering into ship building contracts. It serves vehicle manufacturers; and producers of high and heavy construction equipment, as well as of other rolling and non-rolling stocks. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of approximately 40 vessels. Höegh Autoliners ASA was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Höegh Autoliners ASA reported revenue of kr 1.4B in FY2025 versus kr 947M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was kr 513M in FY2025, compounding +42.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B NOK
Latest YoY
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 kr 947M
FY22 kr 1.3B
FY23 kr 1.4B
FY24 kr 1.3B
FY25 kr 1.4B
Net income +42.4%/yr
FY21 kr 125M
FY22 kr 299M
FY23 kr 510M
FY24 kr 585M
FY25 kr 513M

HAUTO screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Höegh Autoliners ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HAUTO

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 23
FUTURE 47 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 66 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,658 ₹1,041 -37%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥15.25 ¥49.90 +227%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 87.10 TWD 212.79 TWD +144%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 136.33 CLP 146.31 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Höegh Autoliners ASA (HAUTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 42.46 versus a price of kr 186.30, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HAUTO?
Our model-based fair value for Höegh Autoliners ASA is kr 42.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 186.30.
What is the quality score of HAUTO?
Höegh Autoliners ASA has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Höegh Autoliners ASA (HAUTO)?
Höegh Autoliners ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HAUTO?
The net profit margin of Höegh Autoliners ASA is about 31.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Höegh Autoliners ASA pay a dividend?
Höegh Autoliners ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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