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Wan Hai Lines Ltd (2615) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 229B TWD

WH Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 · TW
Price90.60 TWD
Fair Value74.48 TWD
Upside-17.8%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range 44.60 TWD – 91.76 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 212.79 TWD to 74.48 TWD (−65.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (44.60 TWD to 91.76 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9,629 TWD 27.97 TWD Fair Value 74.48 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 27.97 TWD – 9,629 TWD · fair‑value band 44.60 TWD – 91.76 TWD · the 90.60 TWD price screens above the 74.48 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Wan Hai Lines Ltd (2615) currently trades at 90.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 74.48 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wan Hai Lines Ltd generated revenue of 137B TWD at a net margin of 22.2%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 42.8B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 44.60 TWD (bear case) to 91.76 TWD (bull case); at 90.60 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -18%, 2615 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 93.21 TWD 144.22 TWD 232.97 TWD 80
Residual Income 91.00 TWD 107.64 TWD 221.87 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 86.90 TWD 131.09 TWD 185.74 TWD 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 92.79 TWD 145.35 TWD 236.37 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 93.76 TWD 147.04 TWD 239.32 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 86.90 TWD 131.82 TWD 191.34 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 147.46 TWD 252.03 TWD 380.93 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 154.79 TWD 266.57 TWD 391.39 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 86.16 TWD 129.47 TWD 192.59 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 128.75 TWD 217.68 TWD 349.16 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 133.64 TWD 228.35 TWD 357.80 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 76.30 TWD 307.42 TWD 418.13 TWD 54
Lynch FV 76.66 TWD 109.51 TWD 142.37 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 76.66 TWD 109.51 TWD 142.37 TWD 46
EPV 120.31 TWD 137.55 TWD 152.88 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 33.67 TWD 73.50 TWD 123.67 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 33.67 TWD 60.21 TWD 76.60 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 176.73 TWD 235.64 TWD 294.55 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 75.02 TWD 100.03 TWD 125.04 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 143.07 TWD 190.75 TWD 238.44 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 170.75 TWD 220.14 TWD 269.52 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 187.55 TWD 242.53 TWD 297.52 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 85.63 TWD 112.64 TWD 139.64 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 49.06 TWD 65.74 TWD 98.11 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 93.21 TWD 144.22 TWD 232.97 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 86.90 TWD 131.09 TWD 185.74 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 91.00 TWD 107.64 TWD 221.87 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 128.68 TWD 167.44 TWD 221.73 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 134.05 TWD 191.50 TWD 248.96 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (191.50 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (60.21 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 137B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.3%
Net margin 22.2%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow 15.2B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 8.1
More key figures
Operating margin 17.1%
EPS (TTM) 11.20 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -12.2%
Net cash 42.8B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. operates as a fully containerized shipping company in Asia, the Middle East, India, Red Sea, the United States, and South America. The company engages in international marine and freight transportation; and management of container.

Full company description

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. operates as a fully containerized shipping company in Asia, the Middle East, India, Red Sea, the United States, and South America. The company engages in international marine and freight transportation; and management of container. It also provides cargo tracking/terminal info, shipping schedule, documentation, and other services; and storage and logistics, shipping agency, container storage, and information software services. In addition, the company is involved in the sale and rental of vessels and containers; investment business; and management and rental of house, as well as acts as agent for transport affairs. Wan Hai Lines Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wan Hai Lines Ltd reported revenue of 140B TWD in FY2025 versus 228B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.4%/yr. Reported net income was 31.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding −25.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
140B TWD
Latest YoY
−13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Revenue −11.4%/yr
FY21 228B TWD
FY22 259B TWD
FY23 100B TWD
FY24 162B TWD
FY25 140B TWD
Net income −25.7%/yr
FY21 103B TWD
FY22 93.1B TWD
FY23 −5.8B TWD
FY24 47.4B TWD
FY25 31.5B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +29.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.7 pp

of which total revenue +9.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +17.4 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

2615 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wan Hai Lines Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2615

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 43 · sector 26
HEALTH 92 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 45

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,658 ₹1,041 -37%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,810 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥15.25 ¥49.90 +227%
HMM Co 011200 21,350 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹346.60 ₹126.31 -64%
PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
The Great Eastern Shipping Company GESHIP ₹1,299 ₹1,854 +43%
Pan Ocean Co 028670 5,630 KRW 11,840 KRW +110%
Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM 136.33 CLP 146.31 CLP +7%
PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII 795.00 IDR 350.80 IDR -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wan Hai Lines Ltd (2615) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 74.48 TWD versus a price of 90.60 TWD, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2615?
Our model-based fair value for Wan Hai Lines Ltd is 74.48 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 90.60 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2615?
Wan Hai Lines Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wan Hai Lines Ltd (2615)?
Wan Hai Lines Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 137B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2615?
The net profit margin of Wan Hai Lines Ltd is about 22.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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