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Global Payments Inc (GPN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $22.0B

GP Global Payments Inc logo Global Payments Inc GPN · US
Price$94.83
Fair Value$68.98
Upside-27.3%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $49.90 – $83.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $69.67 to $68.98 (−1.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +25.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($83.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$189.29 $62.23 Fair Value $68.98 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $62.23 – $189.29 · fair‑value band $49.90 – $83.17 · the $94.83 price screens above the $68.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Global Payments Inc (GPN) currently trades at $94.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $68.98, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Global Payments Inc generated revenue of $8.9B at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue grew 63.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at $13.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $49.90 (bear case) to $83.17 (bull case); at $94.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -27%, GPN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $52.28 $118.03 $227.09 80
Residual Income $65.99 $68.03 $69.30 76
Rev-Margin DCF $15.58 $47.60 $88.18 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $59.73 $135.33 $263.16 31
5Y P/E Exit $20.29 $56.84 $97.06 38
10Y P/E Exit $30.50 $66.82 $115.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.81 $149.64 $204.49 54
Lynch FV $38.34 $54.77 $71.20 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.01 $16.65 $26.41 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.01 $14.04 $17.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $49.90 $66.54 $83.17 63
P/B Multiple $65.26 $87.01 $108.77 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.84 $56.06 $83.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $52.28 $118.03 $227.09 80
Rev-Margin DCF $15.58 $47.60 $88.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $65.99 $68.03 $69.30 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($68.03) versus Dividend Discount ($14.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +63.1%
Net margin -8.0%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow $2.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 34.9
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) $2.72
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.2%
Net debt $13.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Global Payments Inc. provides payment technology and software solutions for card, check, and digital-based payments in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific.

Full company description

Global Payments Inc. provides payment technology and software solutions for card, check, and digital-based payments in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. It offers authorization, settlement and funding, customer support, chargeback resolution, reconciliation and dispute management, terminal rental, sales and deployment, payment security, and consolidated billing and reporting services. The company also provides an array of enterprise software solutions that streamline business operations of its customers in various vertical markets; and value-added solutions and services, such as point-of-sale software, analytics and customer engagement, payroll and reporting, and human capital management. It markets its products and services through direct sales force, trade associations, agent and enterprise software providers, referral arrangements with value-added resellers, independent sales organizations, payment facilitators, and financial institutions. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global Payments Inc reported revenue of $7.7B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.7B
Latest YoY
−23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.0B
FY23 $9.7B
FY24 $10.1B
FY25 $7.7B
Net income +9.7%/yr
FY21 $965M
FY22 $111M
FY23 $986M
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.6 pp

of which total revenue +13.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.0 pp

EBIT margin +5.0 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GPN screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Payments Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 63% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.85× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 25
PAST 12 · sector 33
HEALTH 57 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $205.28 $95.19 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $34.55 $32.24 -7%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$142.85 C$70.40 -51%
Copart, Inc CPRT $28.99 $28.59 -1%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$120.52 C$49.14 -59%
Brambles Limited BXB A$19.89 A$12.28 -38%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $76.68 $33.62 -56%
Aramark ARMK $60.35 $13.18 -78%
Rentokil Initial plc RTO $24.56 $19.63 -20%
ISS A/S ISS kr 288.20 kr 251.13 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Global Payments Inc (GPN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $68.98 versus a price of $94.83, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GPN?
Our model-based fair value for Global Payments Inc is $68.98 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $94.83.
What is the quality score of GPN?
Global Payments Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Global Payments Inc (GPN)?
Global Payments Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GPN?
The net profit margin of Global Payments Inc is about -8.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Global Payments Inc pay a dividend?
Global Payments Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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