Brambles Ltd (BXB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$25.1B (≈ $18.1B) · ISIN AU000000BXB1
What is Brambles Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 11% above our fair value of A$17.27.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from A$12.28 to A$17.27 (+40.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (A$10.94 to A$24.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$8.22 – A$25.86 · fair‑value band A$10.94 – A$24.77 · the A$19.23 price screens above the A$17.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Brambles Ltd (BXB) currently trades at A$19.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$17.27, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$11.71 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the A$19.23 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$5.19, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Brambles Ltd generated revenue of A$7.0B at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. Net debt stands at A$2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$10.94 (bear case) to A$24.77 (bull case); at A$19.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −10%, BXB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.3230 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$11.71) versus Asset-Based (A$1.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers.
Full company description
Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers. The company serves consumer staples, retail, automotive, and general manufacturing industries. Brambles Limited was founded in 1875 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Brambles Ltd reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2025 versus $5.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $896M in FY2025, compounding +14.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.7 % · buybacks/dilution +1.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BXB screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $204.15 | $95.19 | −53% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | −7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | −51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $32.76 | $28.59 | −13% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $91.05 | $68.98 | −24% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$119.68 | C$68.30 | −43% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $74.43 | $33.62 | −55% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €68.88 | €101.27 | +47% |
| Aramark ARMK | $59.08 | $13.18 | −78% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $23.55 | $19.63 | −17% |
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