Brambles Limited (BXB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$25.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$17.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$7.77 to A$17.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$8.22 – A$25.86 · fair‑value band A$7.77 – A$17.61 · the A$19.56 price screens above the A$12.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Brambles Limited (BXB) currently trades at A$19.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$12.28, implying the stock looks roughly 37.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Brambles Limited generated revenue of A$7.0B at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. Net debt stands at A$2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$7.77 (bear case) to A$17.61 (bull case); at A$19.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -37%, BXB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$11.61) versus Asset-Based (A$1.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers.
Full company description
Brambles Limited operates as a supply-chain logistics company. It operates through CHEP Americas, CHEP EMEA, and CHEP Asia-Pacific segments. The company offers platforms to transport goods across their supply chains. Its products include reusable pallets and containers. The company serves consumer staples, retail, automotive, and general manufacturing industries. Brambles Limited was founded in 1875 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Brambles Limited reported revenue of A$6.8B in FY2025 versus A$5.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$896M in FY2025, compounding +14.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BXB screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- With EPS Growth And More, Brambles (ASX:BXB) Makes An Interesting Case
- Brambles Earns No. 2 Industry Ranking in Dow Jones Best-in-Class World Index
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Brambles and Karat Packaging
- Assessing Brambles (ASX:BXB) Valuation After Recent 8% Share Price Weakness
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $205.28 | $95.19 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | -7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | -51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.99 | $28.59 | -1% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $88.53 | $68.98 | -22% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$120.52 | C$49.14 | -59% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $76.68 | $33.62 | -56% |
| Aramark ARMK | $60.35 | $13.18 | -78% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $24.56 | $19.63 | -20% |
| ISS A/S ISS | kr 288.20 | kr 251.13 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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