Aramark Holdings (ARMK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $14.9B · ISIN US03852U1060
What is Aramark Holdings really worth?
Aramark Holdings
ARMK · US
A solid business, but trading 335% above our fair value of $13.18.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +1.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($10.42 to $27.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.13 – $62.39 · fair‑value band $10.42 – $27.76 · the $57.28 price screens above the $13.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Aramark Holdings (ARMK) currently trades at $57.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.18, implying the stock looks roughly 334.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.55 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $57.28 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.88, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aramark Holdings generated revenue of $19.4B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at $5.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.42 (bear case) to $27.76 (bull case); at $57.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −77%, ARMK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.8127 per share, which is 6.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.55) versus Dividend Discount ($5.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
Notify me when ARMK reaches fair value
Put ARMK on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aramark provides food and facilities services to education, healthcare, business and industry, sports, leisure, and corrections clients in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Food and Support Services United States, and Food and Support Services International.
Full company description
Aramark provides food and facilities services to education, healthcare, business and industry, sports, leisure, and corrections clients in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Food and Support Services United States, and Food and Support Services International. It offers food-related managed services, including dining, catering, food service management, and convenience-oriented retail services; non-clinical food and food-related support services, such as patient food and nutrition, retail food, environmental services, and procurement services; and plant operations and maintenance, custodial/housekeeping, energy management, grounds keeping, and capital project management services. The company also provides on-site restaurants, catering, convenience stores, and executive dining services; beverage and vending services; and facility management services comprising landscaping, transportation, capital program management, payment services, and other facility consulting services relating to building operations. In addition, it offers concessions, banquet, and catering services; retail services and merchandise sale, recreational, and lodging services; and facility management services at sports, entertainment, and recreational facilities. Further, the company offers correctional food; and operates commissaries, laundry facilities, and property rooms. The company was formerly known as ARAMARK Holdings Corporation. Aramark was founded in 1959 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aramark Holdings reported revenue of $18.5B in FY2025 versus $12.1B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $326M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +2.0 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ARMK screens 335% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- A Look Back at Business Process Outsourcing & Consulting Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Aramark (NYSE:ARMK) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
- Aramark Collegiate Hospitality Introduces 2026-2027 Innovations for Current and Incoming Generations
- Aramark (ARMK), What Is Behind The Fresh Attention?
- Aramark Expands NCAA Presence through New Partnerships with Florida State University and Texas State University Ahead of 2026 Season
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $204.15 | $95.19 | −53% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | −7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | −51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $32.76 | $28.59 | −13% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $91.05 | $68.98 | −24% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$119.68 | C$68.30 | −43% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.47 | A$17.27 | −11% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $74.43 | $33.62 | −55% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €68.88 | €101.27 | +47% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $23.55 | $19.63 | −17% |
Compare Aramark Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Aramark Holdings (ARMK) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ARMK?
What is the quality score of ARMK?
What is the revenue of Aramark Holdings (ARMK)?
What is the net profit margin of ARMK?
Does Aramark Holdings pay a dividend?
Watch Aramark Holdings in the live analysis
One click puts Aramark Holdings on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.