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Globe Life Inc (GL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.3B

GL Globe Life Inc logo Globe Life Inc GL · US
Price$180.67
Fair Value$194.41
Upside+7.6%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.63% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $145.81 – $243.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$186.02 $48.21 Fair Value $194.41 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $48.21 – $186.02 · fair‑value band $145.81 – $243.01 · the $180.67 price screens below the $194.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Globe Life Inc (GL) currently trades at $180.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $194.41, implying the stock looks roughly 7.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Globe Life Inc generated revenue of $6.1B at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.5%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $145.81 (bear case) to $243.01 (bull case); at $180.67, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 8%, GL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $99.91 $139.23 $672.84 76
Gordon GGM $10.18 $17.59 $26.70 70
P/E Multiple $145.81 $194.41 $243.01 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.18 $17.59 $26.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.18 $15.09 $20.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $145.81 $194.41 $243.01 63
P/B Multiple $80.79 $107.73 $134.66 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $38.47 $51.55 $76.95 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $99.91 $139.23 $672.84 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($139.23) versus Dividend Discount ($15.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net margin 19.4%
Return on equity 20.5%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 23.8%
EPS (TTM) $14.69
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.6%
Net debt $2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Globe Life Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various life and supplemental health insurance products to lower middle- and middle-income families in the United States. It operates in three segments: Life Insurance, Supplemental Health Insurance, and Investments.

Full company description

Globe Life Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various life and supplemental health insurance products to lower middle- and middle-income families in the United States. It operates in three segments: Life Insurance, Supplemental Health Insurance, and Investments. The company offers whole, term, and other life insurance products, as well as life insurance for children; Medicare supplement and limited-benefit supplemental health insurance products, such as accident, cancer, critical illness, heart, intensive care, and other health products; and final expense, accidental death, mortgage protection, and hospital insurance products. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer channels, exclusive independent agents, general agency independent agents, and brokers. The company was formerly known as Torchmark Corporation and changed its name to Globe Life Inc. in August 2019. Globe Life Inc. was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in McKinney, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Globe Life Inc reported revenue of $6.0B in FY2025 versus $5.1B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.0B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 $5.1B
FY22 $5.2B
FY23 $5.4B
FY24 $5.8B
FY25 $6.0B
Net income +11.7%/yr
FY21 $745M
FY22 $740M
FY23 $971M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.9 pp

of which total revenue +4.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +4.5 pp

EBIT margin +1.3 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Globe Life Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GL

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.30× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 26
FUTURE 27 · sector 44
PAST 82 · sector 43
HEALTH 81 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 55

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.33 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥52.60 ¥84.72 +61%
Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 HK$343.40 HK$143.17 -58%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 -5%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 302,500 KRW 191,293 KRW -37%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.48 ¥57.51 +89%
Prudential plc PUKN 545.00 MXN 499.36 MXN -8%
New China Life Insurance Company 601336 ¥58.83 ¥99.92 +70%
SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE ₹1,830 ₹293.11 -84%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882B 59.00 TWD 107.71 TWD +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Globe Life Inc (GL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $194.41 versus a price of $180.67, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GL?
Our model-based fair value for Globe Life Inc is $194.41 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $180.67.
What is the quality score of GL?
Globe Life Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Globe Life Inc (GL)?
Globe Life Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GL?
The net profit margin of Globe Life Inc is about 19.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Globe Life Inc pay a dividend?
Globe Life Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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