Griffon Corporation (GFF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.2B · ISIN US3984331021
What is Griffon Corporation really worth?
Griffon Corporation
GFF · US
A solid business, but trading 277% above our fair value of $25.92.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +4.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($17.55 to $43.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.70 – $107.22 · fair‑value band $17.55 – $43.45 · the $97.75 price screens above the $25.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Griffon Corporation (GFF) currently trades at $97.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.92, implying the stock looks roughly 277.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $45.99 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $97.75 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.58, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Griffon Corporation generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.55 (bear case) to $43.45 (bull case); at $97.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −73%, GFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2043 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($45.99) versus Asset-Based ($1.08). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Griffon Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides home and building, and consumer and professional products in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
Griffon Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides home and building, and consumer and professional products in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and internationally. The Home and Building Products segment manufactures and markets residential and sectional commercial garage doors, rolling steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, steel security grilles, and room dividers. This segment also sells garage door openers. Its Consumer and Professional Products segment manufactures and markets long-handled engineered tools, including shovels, spades, scoops, rakes, hoes, cultivators, weeders, post hole diggers, scrapers, edgers, and forks; wheelbarrows and lawn carts; snow tools comprising pushers, roof rakes, sled sleigh shovels, and ice scrapers; and pruning products, such as pruners, loppers, shears, and other tools. This segment also offers striking tools, including axes, picks, mattocks, mauls, wood splitters, sledgehammers, pry bars, and repair handles; hand tools comprising hammers, screwdrivers, pliers, adjustable wrenches, handsaws, tape measures, levels, clamps, trowels, and other hand tools; indoor and outdoor planters and lawn accessories; and garden hoses and hose reels. In addition, this segment provides home organization products, including wire and wood shelving, containers, storage cabinets, and other closet and home organization accessories; residential, industrial, and commercial fans; and cleaning products, such as brooms, brushes, squeegees, and other cleaning products. It serves independent professional installing dealers and home center retail chains; and industrial distributors, homebuilders, and e-commerce platforms, as well as mass market, specialty, and hardware retailers. The company was formerly known as Instrument Systems Corporation and changed its name to Griffon Corporation in 1995. Griffon Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Griffon Corporation reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $51.1M in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.3 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GFF screens 277% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Here's Why Momentum in Griffon (GFF) Should Keep going
- Griffon (GFF) Issued $800 Million In Notes, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?
- How Is Griffon (GFF) Resetting Its Balance Sheet With An $800 Million Deal?
- Griffon Corporation Announces Closing of Senior Notes Offering and Amended Credit Facility
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.23 | $44.75 | −69% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | −23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
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