Genesis Energy LP (GEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US3719271047
What is Genesis Energy LP really worth?
Genesis Energy LP
GEL · US
Below-average quality, trading 39% below our fair value of $26.51.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from $13.32 to $26.51 (+99.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +7.3% over the past month.
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What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($20.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.02 – $18.30 · fair‑value band $20.72 – $26.51 · the $16.18 price screens below the $26.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Genesis Energy LP (GEL) currently trades at $16.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.51, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 14 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Genesis Energy LP generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $20.72 (bear case) to $26.51 (bull case); at $16.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 64%, GEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($12.14) versus Asset-Based ($1.30). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Genesis Energy, L.P. engages in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry in the United States. It operates through Offshore Pipeline Transportation; Marine Transportation; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation segments.
Full company description
Genesis Energy, L.P. engages in the midstream segment of the crude oil and natural gas industry in the United States. It operates through Offshore Pipeline Transportation; Marine Transportation; and Onshore Facilities and Transportation segments. The Offshore Pipeline Transportation segment engages in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline transportation and handling operations, as well as provision of a suite of services to integrated and large independent energy companies. This segment also owns interests in offshore crude oil and natural gas pipeline systems, platforms, and related infrastructure. The Marine Transportation segment includes inland marine fleet, which transports intermediate refined petroleum products, such as asphalt; offshore marine fleet, which transports crude oil and refined petroleum products; and M/T American Phoenix, a modern, double-hulled tanker. The Onshore Facilities and Transportation segment provides transportation and facilities services to crude oil refiners and producers by purchasing, transporting, storing, blending, and marketing crude oil and refined products; and owns a portfolio of logistical assets consisting of pipelines, trucks, tanks and terminals, barges and rail unloading facilities. This segment also owns and operates onshore common carrier crude oil pipeline systems and operational crude oil rail unloading facilities; and is involved in processing of high sulfur gas streams for refineries, as well as selling of related by-product, sodium hydrosulfide. Genesis Energy, L.P. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Genesis Energy LP reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.2M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Genesis Energy’s Q2 Earnings Call
- GEL Q2 Deep Dive: Balance Sheet Progress and Offshore Asset Strategy Drive Results
- Genesis Energy (GEL) Could Be 70% Undervalued As Earnings Return To Profit
- Genesis Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $50.72 | $35.83 | −29% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $74.05 | $11.73 | −84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $39.02 | $20.94 | −46% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$88.72 | C$24.53 | −72% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $31.60 | $10.92 | −65% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $21.31 | $11.45 | −46% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $59.25 | $36.42 | −39% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $95.69 | $58.62 | −39% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $286.91 | $79.61 | −72% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $280.80 | $199.99 | −29% |
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