GEI.TO (GEI) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$5.3B (≈ $3.8B) · ISIN CA3748252069
What is GEI.TO really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 205% above our fair value of C$10.33.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +0.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$18.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$15.48 – C$32.48 · fair‑value band C$10.33 – C$18.28 · the C$31.46 price screens above the C$10.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
GEI.TO (GEI) currently trades at C$31.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.33, implying the stock looks roughly 204.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of C$23.95 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$31.46 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$2.64, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, GEI.TO generated revenue of C$10.7B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at C$2.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$10.33 (bear case) to C$18.28 (bull case); at C$31.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −67%, GEI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (C$23.95) versus Economic Profit (C$2.64). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
Notify me when GEI reaches fair value
Put GEI on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Gibson Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering, storing, optimizing, and processing of liquids and refined products in Canada and the United States. It operates through Infrastructure and Marketing segments.
Full company description
Gibson Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the gathering, storing, optimizing, and processing of liquids and refined products in Canada and the United States. It operates through Infrastructure and Marketing segments. The company operates a network of infrastructure assets that include terminals, rail loading and unloading facilities, gathering pipelines, diluent recovery unit, and crude oil processing facility. It also purchases, sells, stores, and optimizes hydrocarbon products, including crude oil, natural gas liquids, road asphalt, roofing flux, frac oils, light and heavy straight run distillate. The company was formerly known as Gibson Energy Holdings ULC and changed its name to Gibson Energy Inc. in April 2011. Gibson Energy Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GEI.TO reported revenue of C$10.7B in FY2025 versus C$7.2B in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$198M in FY2025, compounding +8.0%/yr from FY2021.
GEI screens 205% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $50.72 | $35.83 | −29% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $74.05 | $11.73 | −84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $39.02 | $20.94 | −46% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$88.72 | C$24.53 | −72% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $31.60 | $10.92 | −65% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $21.31 | $11.45 | −46% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $59.25 | $36.42 | −39% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $95.69 | $58.62 | −39% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $286.91 | $79.61 | −72% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $280.80 | $199.99 | −29% |
Compare GEI.TO with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is GEI.TO (GEI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GEI?
What is the quality score of GEI?
What is the revenue of GEI.TO (GEI)?
What is the net profit margin of GEI?
Does GEI.TO pay a dividend?
Watch GEI.TO in the live analysis
One click puts GEI.TO on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.