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GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (GCT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.2B · ISIN KYG386441037

What is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares really worth?

GT GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares logo GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares GCT · US
Price$50.87
Fair Value$64.02
Upside+25.9%
Quality70/100

A solid business, trading 21% below our fair value of $64.02.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +36.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (14/15)
✓Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!The models disagree: range $48.02 to $187.98
Evidence: High Range $48.02 – $187.98

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +9.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($48.02 to $187.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$53.25 $4.27 Fair Value $64.02 Aug 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range $4.27 – $53.25 · fair‑value band $48.02 – $187.98 · the $50.87 price screens below the $64.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (GCT) currently trades at $50.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.02, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $218.16 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $50.87 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.86, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 32.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.1%. Net debt stands at $89.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $48.02 (bear case) to $187.98 (bull case); at $50.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 197% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 26%, GCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.68 per share, which is 4.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $98.02 $137.12 $253.99 75
EPV $46.13 $50.65 $54.42 74
Growth DCF $92.64 $150.68 $241.88 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $98.02 $137.12 $253.99 75
Owner Earnings $73.01 $137.40 $256.89 70
5Y Revenue Exit $67.69 $100.40 $168.29 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $72.87 $110.88 $185.09 71
5Y P/E Exit $93.78 $187.46 $314.05 66
10Y Revenue Exit $76.81 $135.47 $167.64 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $81.67 $145.66 $251.03 64
10Y P/E Exit $95.62 $186.72 $333.85 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.93 $222.68 $312.50 61
Lynch FV $115.04 $164.35 $213.65 59
PEG = 1.0 $115.04 $164.35 $213.65 55
EPV $46.13 $50.65 $54.42 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.99 $10.80 $14.87 66
DDM Multi-Stage $5.99 $9.86 $11.54 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $77.48 $103.30 $129.13 63
P/S Multiple $39.68 $52.91 $66.14 58
P/B Multiple $49.82 $66.42 $83.03 55
EV/EBIT $79.92 $102.23 $124.55 66
EV/EBITDA $60.17 $75.90 $91.63 67
EV/Revenue $50.01 $65.88 $81.76 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.30 $11.13 $16.61 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $92.64 $150.68 $241.88 74
Rev-Margin DCF $72.93 $113.05 $197.48 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $28.79 $41.47 $287.89 61
ROIC Compounder $49.94 $60.03 $70.99 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $152.71 $218.16 $283.61 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($218.16) versus Dividend Discount ($9.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.6 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 0.92 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.95 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 23.5%
Net margin 10.6% FY2025
Return on equity 32.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.2% 3y avg +38.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +53.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $183M FY2025
Net debt $89.9M FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

GigaCloud Technology Inc. provides end-to-end B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States and internationally. The company offers GigaCloud Marketplace that integrates product discovery to payments and logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform.

Full company description

GigaCloud Technology Inc. provides end-to-end B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States and internationally. The company offers GigaCloud Marketplace that integrates product discovery to payments and logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform. It's marketplace connects manufacturers primarily in Asia with resellers in the United States, Asia, and Europe to execute cross-border transactions across furniture, home appliance, fitness equipment, and other large parcel categories. The company was formerly known as Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited and changed its name to GigaCloud Technology Inc. in February 2021. GigaCloud Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in El Monte, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $414M in FY2021, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was $137M in FY2025, compounding +47.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+39.5% (37.7 + 1.8)
Revenue +32.8%/yr
FY21 $414M
FY22 $490M
FY23 $704M
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +47.2%/yr
FY21 $29.3M
FY22 $24.0M
FY23 $94.1M
FY24 $126M
FY25 $137M

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GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares · Fair Value
$64.02 +21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +26% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.55× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE68 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 50
PAST100 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND36 · sector 26

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $480.35 $365.74 −24%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $151.94 $117.84 −22%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $166.00 $61.46 −63%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $442.61 $101.19 −77%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 −36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $105.26 $71.79 −32%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $190.64 $154.83 −19%
Adyen N.V ADYEN €1,007 €707.53 −30%
MongoDB, Inc MDB $440.58 $93.91 −79%
Okta, Inc OKTA $166.23 $30.50 −82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (GCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.02 versus a price of $50.87, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GCT?
Our model-based fair value for GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is $64.02 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $50.87.
What is the quality score of GCT?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (GCT)?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GCT?
The net profit margin of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is about 10.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares pay a dividend?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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