Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $760M · ISIN US33833Q1067
What is Five Point Holdings LLC really worth?
Five Point Holdings LLC
FPH · US
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $4.79.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.98 – $8.73 · fair‑value band $4.27 – $6.09 · the $5.10 price screens above the $4.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) currently trades at $5.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.79, implying the stock looks roughly 6.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $14.77 per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the $5.10 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.78, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Five Point Holdings LLC generated revenue of $110M at a net margin of 41.2%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $91.5M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.27 (bear case) to $6.09 (bull case); at $5.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −6%, FPH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.4145 per share, which is 8.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($14.77) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
Notify me when FPH reaches fair value
Put FPH on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers.
Full company description
Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Five Point Holdings LLC reported revenue of $110M in FY2025 versus $224M in FY2021, a compound −16.3%/yr. Reported net income was $71.0M in FY2025, compounding +81.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Watch FPH: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Five Point Holdings, LLC Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Five Point reaffirms approximately $100M 2026 net income as it expects remaining land sales in Q4
- Five Point Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Is Fisher & Paykel Healthcare (NZSE:FPH) Pricey After Recent Share Price Weakness?
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 567 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | −19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$47.34 | HK$68.85 | +45% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | −81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | −74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | −53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | −32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | −78% |
Compare Five Point Holdings LLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of FPH?
What is the quality score of FPH?
What is the revenue of Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH)?
What is the net profit margin of FPH?
Does Five Point Holdings LLC pay a dividend?
Watch Five Point Holdings LLC in the live analysis
One click puts Five Point Holdings LLC on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.