Fila SpA (FILA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IT · Market cap €544M · ISIN IT0004967292
What is Fila SpA really worth?
A solid business, but trading 47% above our fair value of €7.14.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +10.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.33 – €10.91 · fair‑value band €5.36 – €8.93 · the €10.52 price screens above the €7.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Fila SpA (FILA) currently trades at €10.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.14, implying the stock looks roughly 47.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €10.65 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the €10.52 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.83, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Fila SpA generated revenue of €567M at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at €136M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.36 (bear case) to €8.93 (bull case); at €10.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −32%, FILA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.2242 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€10.65) versus Dividend Discount (€2.83). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. produces and markets colouring, design, modelling, writing, and painting objects in Europe, North America, Central/South America, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. produces and markets colouring, design, modelling, writing, and painting objects in Europe, North America, Central/South America, Asia, and internationally. It offers, crayons, modelling clays, chalks, oil colors, acrylics, watercolors, paints, and paper products for the fine arts, school, and leisure sectors. The company provides its products under the GIOTTO, DAS, LYRA, Canson, Maimeri, Daler-Rowney Lukas, Ticonderoga, Pacon, Strathmore, Princeton, and Arches brands. It sells its products through its branches and sales offices to wholesalers, office and school suppliers, supermarkets, retailers, distributors, promotional, B2B operators, and others. F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Pero, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fila SpA reported revenue of €572M in FY2025 versus €656M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was €14.5M in FY2025, compounding −21.5%/yr from FY2021.
FILA screens 47% overvalued. Compare with GRG Banking Equipment Co →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 74 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥9.85 | ¥9.65 | −2% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥22.25 | ¥30.05 | +35% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥17.93 | ¥19.69 | +10% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,215 | ₹782.96 | −65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥11.82 | ¥2.09 | −82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥7.72 | ¥1.75 | −77% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.99 | ¥3.01 | −62% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.75 | ¥2.10 | −69% |
| Cashway Fintech Co 603106 | ¥7.21 | ¥1.68 | −77% |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 | ¥11.00 | ¥21.12 | +92% |
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