Xgd Inc (300130) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.4B CNY (≈ $1.8B) · ISIN CNE100000VL8

What is Xgd Inc really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
• The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.34 – ¥37.39 · fair‑value band ¥15.77 – ¥23.31 · the ¥20.22 price screens above the ¥19.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Xgd Inc (300130) currently trades at ¥20.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.69, implying the stock looks roughly 2.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥24.45 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥20.22 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.20, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xgd Inc generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.77 (bear case) to ¥23.31 (bull case); at ¥20.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −3%, 300130 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0951 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥24.45) versus Asset-Based (¥5.20). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

XGD Inc., together with its subsidiaries designs, researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services payment terminals in China and internationally.

Full company description

XGD Inc., together with its subsidiaries designs, researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services payment terminals in China and internationally. The company offers payments services and electronic payment devices, such as Smart POS terminals, QR code scanning terminals, facial recognition payment terminals, smart cloud speakers, and new payment terminals. It also provides internet marketing, commercial debt management, software development, and technical consulting. XGD Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xgd Inc reported revenue of 3.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 469M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 74 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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