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GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd (002152) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 25.2B CNY (≈ $3.8B) · ISIN CNE100000650

What is GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd really worth?

GB GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd 002152 · SHE
Price¥9.85
Fair Value¥9.65
Upside−2.0%
Quality60/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥9.65.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.5 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Weak on future: 15 out of 100
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100

For context

·3.76% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥7.24 – ¥12.07

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.00 ¥7.24 Fair Value ¥9.65 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.24 – ¥15.00 · fair‑value band ¥7.24 – ¥12.07 · the ¥9.85 price screens above the ¥9.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd (002152) currently trades at ¥9.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.65, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥17.44 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥9.85 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.62, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd generated revenue of 12.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.24 (bear case) to ¥12.07 (bull case); at ¥9.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −2%, 002152 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥11.79 ¥18.49 ¥35.35 77
Growth DCF ¥11.58 ¥19.40 ¥31.75 76
Residual Income ¥4.89 ¥5.04 ¥5.01 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.79 ¥18.49 ¥35.35 77
Owner Earnings ¥8.31 ¥12.80 ¥21.42 75
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.63 ¥14.24 ¥20.71 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.77 ¥18.97 ¥28.50 74
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.14 ¥17.57 ¥25.36 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.10 ¥14.89 ¥22.81 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.73 ¥18.51 ¥29.82 67
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.30 ¥17.44 ¥26.99 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.34 ¥13.68 ¥19.04 63
Lynch FV ¥3.87 ¥5.53 ¥7.19 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.87 ¥5.53 ¥7.19 57
EPV ¥7.27 ¥7.82 ¥8.30 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.06 ¥4.29 ¥6.80 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.06 ¥3.62 ¥4.50 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.24 ¥9.65 ¥12.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.40 ¥5.86 ¥7.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.40 ¥5.86 ¥7.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.17 ¥16.24 ¥19.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.16 ¥14.89 ¥17.62 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.62 ¥10.62 ¥12.61 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.12 ¥4.18 ¥6.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.58 ¥19.40 ¥31.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.63 ¥14.09 ¥20.30 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.89 ¥5.04 ¥5.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.84 ¥9.59 ¥11.61 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.59 ¥9.41 ¥12.24 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥17.44) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.0
P/S ratio 2.06 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.0
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 109%
Net margin 7.1% FY2025
Return on equity 7.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 12.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9% 3y avg +17.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −10.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.4B CNY FY2025
Net cash 7.7B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

GRG Banking Equipment Co., Ltd. provides artificial intelligence solutions for financial self-service industry in China and internationally. the company operates through two segments: FinTech and Smart City. It provides intelligent self-service equipment; and AI-driven visual big data, smart building technologies, and advanced transportation systems.

Full company description

GRG Banking Equipment Co., Ltd. provides artificial intelligence solutions for financial self-service industry in China and internationally. the company operates through two segments: FinTech and Smart City. It provides intelligent self-service equipment; and AI-driven visual big data, smart building technologies, and advanced transportation systems. It offers automatic teller machines, and recyclers; and digital branch; content management; cash sorting machines, terminal operation, and security; multifunctional smart branch; community smart branch; and branch on wheels, a mobile bank. The company also provides smart transactions, such as smart teller machine, branch cash recyclers, and card processing, portable smart teller machine, smart management, smart counter, and digital banking. Further, it provides intelligent deposit machines, retail cash-to-card ATM/CRS, retail cash management solution, and e-payment solutions. In addition, the company provides banknote processing, coin processing, card processing, authentication, and other parts of kiosk. GRG Banking Equipment Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Guangzhou, China. GRG Banking Equipment Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Guangzhou Digital Technology Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was 856M CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.7% (1.9 + 3.8)
Revenue +15.5%/yr
FY21 6.8B CNY
FY22 7.5B CNY
FY23 9.0B CNY
FY24 10.9B CNY
FY25 12.1B CNY
Net income +1.0%/yr
FY21 824M CNY
FY22 829M CNY
FY23 977M CNY
FY24 920M CNY
FY25 856M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.0 %

of which total revenue +12.0 % · buybacks/dilution −1.8 %

EBIT margin −5.3 %
Tax rate −1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002152

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 74 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE31 · sector 31
FUTURE15 · sector 19
PAST29 · sector 19
HEALTH95 · sector 98
DIVIDEND75 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd (002152) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.65 versus a price of ¥9.85, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002152?
Our model-based fair value for GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd is ¥9.65 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.85.
What is the quality score of 002152?
GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd (002152)?
GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002152?
The net profit margin of GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd pay a dividend?
GRG Banking Equipment Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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