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FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $28.1B · ISIN US3379321074

What is FirstEnergy Corporation really worth?

FC FirstEnergy Corporation logo FirstEnergy Corporation FE · US
Price$47.04
Fair Value$24.17
Upside−48.6%
Quality40/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 95% above our fair value of $24.17.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·3.78% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $12.39 – $31.42

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($31.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($12.39 to $31.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.38 $29.07 Fair Value $24.17 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $29.07 – $51.38 · fair‑value band $12.39 – $31.42 · the $47.04 price screens above the $24.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) currently trades at $47.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.17, implying the stock looks roughly 94.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.98 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $47.04 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.97, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, FirstEnergy Corporation generated revenue of $15.3B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at $27.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.39 (bear case) to $31.42 (bull case); at $47.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −49%, FE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0406 per share, which is 0.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $18.27 $19.70 $22.47 76
Gordon GGM $16.13 $20.94 $25.86 69
EPV $4.97 $11.08 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.99 $21.38 $26.32 66
EPV $4.97 $11.08 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.13 $20.94 $25.86 69
DDM Multi-Stage $16.13 $21.99 $29.06 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.81 $31.74 $39.68 63
P/S Multiple $22.48 $29.98 $37.47 58
P/B Multiple $22.48 $29.98 $37.47 55
EV/EBIT $11.18 $29.55 $47.92 61
EV/EBITDA $13.65 $32.84 $52.03 63
EV/Revenue $0.6500 $19.76 $38.86 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.81 $14.49 $21.63 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $18.27 $19.70 $22.47 76
ROIC Compounder $4.97 $11.08 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.92 $24.17 $31.42 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($29.98) versus Earnings-Based ($4.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.8
P/S ratio 1.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.82 price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.8
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 97.8%
Net margin 6.8% FY2025
Return on equity 9.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 20.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $15.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6% 3y avg +6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$1.0B FY2025
Net debt $27.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

FirstEnergy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, distribution, and transmission of electricity in the United States. It operates through Distribution, Integrated, and Stand-Alone Transmission segments. The company owns and operates coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, and solar power generating facilities.

Full company description

FirstEnergy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, distribution, and transmission of electricity in the United States. It operates through Distribution, Integrated, and Stand-Alone Transmission segments. The company owns and operates coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, and solar power generating facilities. The company operates 252,959 distribution line miles and 24,157 transmission line miles, including overhead pole line and underground conduit carrying primary, secondary, and street lighting circuits. The company serves customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York. FirstEnergy Corp. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FirstEnergy Corporation reported revenue of $15.1B in FY2025 versus $11.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.1B
Latest YoY
+12.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.2% (4.4 + 3.8)
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 $11.1B
FY22 $12.5B
FY23 $12.9B
FY24 $13.5B
FY25 $15.1B
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $406M
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $978M
FY25 $1.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.1 %

of which total revenue −0.9 % · buybacks/dilution −3.2 %

EBIT margin +5.2 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FE screens 95% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FirstEnergy Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.04× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.74× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE58 · sector 32
PAST38 · sector 39
HEALTH0 · sector 52
DIVIDEND76 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $83.47 $32.94 −61%
The Southern Company SO $88.25 $58.81 −33%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $120.25 $74.89 −38%
National Grid plc NGG $80.68 $63.94 −21%
American Electric Power Company AEP $122.96 $77.23 −37%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.01 $46.34 −30%
Entergy Corporation ETR $105.75 $52.92 −50%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $76.34 $44.61 −42%
Exelon Corporation EXC $43.96 $37.60 −14%
Endesa, S.A ELE €42.30 €25.72 −39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.17 versus a price of $47.04, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FE?
Our model-based fair value for FirstEnergy Corporation is $24.17 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $47.04.
What is the quality score of FE?
FirstEnergy Corporation has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FirstEnergy Corporation (FE)?
FirstEnergy Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FE?
The net profit margin of FirstEnergy Corporation is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does FirstEnergy Corporation pay a dividend?
FirstEnergy Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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