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Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.3B

FB Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc logo Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc FBIN · US
Price$48.43
Fair Value$26.02
Upside-46.3%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.97% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $17.89 – $43.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $26.48 to $26.02 (−1.7%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.89 to $43.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.02 $33.15 Fair Value $26.02 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $33.15 – $87.02 · fair‑value band $17.89 – $43.71 · the $48.43 price screens above the $26.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN) currently trades at $48.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.02, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. Net debt stands at $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.89 (bear case) to $43.71 (bull case); at $48.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -46%, FBIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.99 $20.59 $37.22 80
Residual Income $18.53 $21.82 $40.92 76
Rev-Margin DCF $18.59 $38.67 $63.47 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.85 $19.77 $38.46 38
Owner Earnings $9.48 $19.27 $37.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit $18.59 $37.98 $66.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $26.18 $50.97 $84.41 41
5Y P/E Exit $12.83 $28.14 $46.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.63 $28.66 $45.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.36 $36.78 $56.15 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.40 $22.51 $33.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $17.03 $24.49 $28.79 54
EPV $20.14 $26.34 $31.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.88 $9.94 $11.31 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.88 $11.33 $14.43 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.45 $52.60 $65.75 63
P/S Multiple $31.94 $42.58 $53.23 58
P/B Multiple $31.94 $42.58 $53.23 55
EV/EBIT $47.29 $69.43 $91.57 53
EV/EBITDA $45.98 $67.68 $89.38 54
EV/Revenue $28.02 $48.22 $68.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.01 $13.42 $20.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.99 $20.59 $37.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.59 $38.67 $63.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.53 $21.82 $40.92 76
ROIC Compounder $20.15 $27.12 $34.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $27.86 $39.80 $51.73 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($48.22) versus Dividend Discount ($9.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net margin 6.1%
Return on equity 11.7%
Free cash flow $367M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) $2.25
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -52.4%
Net debt $2.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security.

Full company description

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security. The Water segment manufactures, assembles, and sells faucets, accessories, hardware, kitchen sinks, and waste disposals, under the Moen, ROHL, Riobel, Victoria+Albert, Perrin & Rowe, Aqualisa, Shaws, Emtek, Schaub, and SpringWell brands. Its Outdoors segment manufactures and sells fiberglass and steel entry door systems under the Therma-Tru brand; storm, screen, and security doors under the Larson brand; composite decking, railing and cladding under the Fiberon brand; urethane millwork under the Fypon brand; and wide-opening exterior door systems and outdoor enclosures under the Solar Innovations brand. The Security segment offers locks, safety and security devices, connected and mechanical lock out tag out solutions, and electronic security under the Master Lock, American Lock, and Yale and August brands; and fire-resistant safes, security containers, and commercial cabinets under the SentrySafe brand. The company sells its products through various sales channels, including kitchen and bath dealers; wholesalers oriented toward builders or professional remodelers; industrial and locksmith distributors; do-it-yourself remodeling-oriented home centers; showrooms; e-commerce; and other retail outlets. Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $299M in FY2025, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.5B
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $4.7B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $4.6B
FY25 $4.5B
Net income −21.1%/yr
FY21 $772M
FY22 $687M
FY23 $405M
FY24 $472M
FY25 $299M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 pp

of which total revenue +0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.0 pp

EBIT margin +2.9 pp
Tax rate +1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FBIN screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FBIN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.07× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.93× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 47 · sector 23
HEALTH 47 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $483.96 $208.50 -57%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $152.79 $44.75 -71%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $63.08 $16.85 -73%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €84.24 €97.97 +16%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,405 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 38.91 kr 25.37 -35%
Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 ¥18.73 ¥31.73 +69%
Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 ¥42.22 ¥11.94 -72%
The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND ₹3,460 ₹1,376 -60%
Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS ₹3,899 ₹763.08 -80%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.02 versus a price of $48.43, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FBIN?
Our model-based fair value for Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc is $26.02 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.43.
What is the quality score of FBIN?
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc (FBIN)?
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FBIN?
The net profit margin of Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc is about 6.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc pay a dividend?
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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