Fabege AB (FABG) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 23.4B SEK (≈ $2.4B) · ISIN SE0011166974
What is Fabege AB really worth?
A solid business, but trading 271% above our fair value of kr 19.64.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −4.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 54.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 9.99 to kr 54.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 62.20 – kr 140.57 · fair‑value band kr 9.99 – kr 54.40 · the kr 72.85 price screens above the kr 19.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Fabege AB (FABG) currently trades at kr 72.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 19.64, implying the stock looks roughly 270.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 79.82 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 72.85 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 5.30, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Fabege AB generated revenue of 3.8B SEK at a net margin of −1.9%. Revenue grew 24.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.2%. Net debt stands at 37.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 9.99 (bear case) to kr 54.40 (bull case); at kr 72.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −73%, FABG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 79.82) versus Growth DCF (kr 5.30). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Fabege AB (publ), a property company, owns, develops, and manages commercial properties in Sweden. The company operates through four segments: Property Management, Property Development, Business Development/Transactions, and Residential Development.
Full company description
Fabege AB (publ), a property company, owns, develops, and manages commercial properties in Sweden. The company operates through four segments: Property Management, Property Development, Business Development/Transactions, and Residential Development. Its property portfolio comprises office, retail, industrial/warehouse, residential, hotel, and garage properties. The company also engages in residential development; and acts as an urban developer. The company was formerly known as Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB and changed its name to Fabege AB (publ) in December 2005. Fabege AB (publ) was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fabege AB reported revenue of 3.8B SEK in FY2025 versus 3.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −348M SEK in FY2025.
FABG screens 271% overvalued. Compare with CBRE Group →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 523 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $148.74 | $69.47 | −53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.85 | €36.67 | +85% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | −7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | −62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $378.01 | $290.25 | −23% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | −79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.22 | $4.64 | −86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | −12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.66 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | −82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 4,040 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +13% |
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