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Cellnex Telecom SA (CLNX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ES · Market cap €16.5B · ISIN ES0105066007

What is Cellnex Telecom SA really worth?

CT Cellnex Telecom SA CLNX · MC
Price€25.66
Fair Value€21.64
Upside−15.7%
Quality34/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 19% above our fair value of €21.64.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.4% net margin
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range €8.97 – €34.31

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€8.97 to €34.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€58.97 €24.19 Fair Value €21.64 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €24.19 – €58.97 · fair‑value band €8.97 – €34.31 · the €25.66 price screens above the €21.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cellnex Telecom SA (CLNX) currently trades at €25.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.64, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €44.55 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the €25.66 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €12.24, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cellnex Telecom SA generated revenue of €4.1B at a net margin of −8.4%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.4%. Net debt stands at €22.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.97 (bear case) to €34.31 (bull case); at €25.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −16%, CLNX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence €22.13 77
Growth DCF €0.1100 €21.93 75
Owner Earnings €7.87 €44.41 73
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence €22.13 77
Owner Earnings €7.87 €44.41 73
5Y Revenue Exit €9.94 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €11.74 €49.38 €118.38 66
10Y Revenue Exit €8.82 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €5.03 €44.55 €119.27 58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.1600 €0.3400 €0.5400 66
DDM Multi-Stage €0.1600 €0.2900 €0.3600 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €21.49 €36.40 €51.31 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.13 €12.24 €18.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.1100 €21.93 75
Rev-Margin DCF €8.84 69

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€44.55) versus Growth DCF (€0.1100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.00 TTM
EPS (TTM) €−0.5200
Dividend yield 0.1%
Net margin −8.2% FY2025
Return on equity −2.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 16.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €4.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −8.4% 3y avg +10.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −85.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €526M FY2025
Net debt €22.7B FY2025 · ≈ 43.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cellnex Telecom, S.A. engages in the management of terrestrial telecommunications infrastructures in France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, Ireland, and Austria.

Full company description

Cellnex Telecom, S.A. engages in the management of terrestrial telecommunications infrastructures in France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, Ireland, and Austria. It operates through four segments: Towers; DAS, Small Cells, and RAN as a Service; Fiber, Connectivity, and Housing Services; and Broadcast. The Towers segment provides integrated network passive infrastructure services; other wireless telecommunications; and broadband network operators services, as well as colocation and engineering services. The DAS, Small Cells, and RAN as a Service segment offers services, such as RAN as a Service, which entails the emission and transmission active services; PPDR services comprising active infrastructure management for public administrations, including TETRA and 4G/LTE mission critical service networks; operation and maintenance; infrastructure support services; and other services that include smart cities/Internet of Things. The Fiber, Connectivity, and Housing Services segment provides data transport through fiber, including fibre-to-the-tower (FTTT), connectivity, backhaul transmission, and hosting services in edge data centers infrastructure. The broadcast segment engages in the distribution and transmission of television and radio signals; operation and maintenance of broadcasting networks; provision of connectivity for media content and over-the-top (OTT) broadcasting services; and other services, as well as offers coverage of the digital terrestrial television (DTT) services. The company also offers fixed and mobile telecommunication services; and provision of telecommunications equipment. In addition, it constructs and operates optic fiber telecommunications. The company was formerly known as Abertis Telecom Terrestre, S.A.U. and changed its name to Cellnex Telecom, S.A. in April 2015. Cellnex Telecom, S.A. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cellnex Telecom SA reported revenue of €4.4B in FY2025 versus €2.5B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€361M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.4B
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 €2.5B
FY22 €3.2B
FY23 €3.8B
FY24 €4.1B
FY25 €4.4B
Net income
FY21 −€386M
FY22 −€297M
FY23 −€297M
FY24 −€28.0M
FY25 −€361M

CLNX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with CBRE Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cellnex Telecom SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLNX

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 523 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Below median
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.64× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 36.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE12 · sector 30
FUTURE0 · sector 11
PAST0 · sector 17
HEALTH30 · sector 84
DIVIDEND1 · sector 63

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $148.74 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.50 kr 75.55 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cellnex Telecom SA (CLNX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.64 versus a price of €25.66, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLNX?
Our model-based fair value for Cellnex Telecom SA is €21.64 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €25.66.
What is the quality score of CLNX?
Cellnex Telecom SA has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cellnex Telecom SA (CLNX)?
Cellnex Telecom SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLNX?
The net profit margin of Cellnex Telecom SA is about −8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cellnex Telecom SA pay a dividend?
Cellnex Telecom SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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