Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $6.6B · ISIN US26969P1084
What is Eagle Materials Inc really worth?
Eagle Materials Inc
EXP · US
A solid business, but trading 50% above our fair value of $128.90.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($86.07 to $245.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $101.34 – $312.76 · fair‑value band $86.07 – $245.06 · the $193.58 price screens above the $128.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) currently trades at $193.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $128.90, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $220.21 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the $193.58 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $15.67, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Eagle Materials Inc generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $86.07 (bear case) to $245.06 (bull case); at $193.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −33%, EXP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.26 per share, which is 4.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($220.21) versus Dividend Discount ($15.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Eagle Materials Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heavy construction products and light building materials in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard.
Full company description
Eagle Materials Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells heavy construction products and light building materials in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Cement, Concrete and Aggregates, Gypsum Wallboard, and Recycled Paperboard. It engages in the mining of limestone for the manufacture, production, distribution, and sale of portland cement, including Portland limestone cement; grinding and sale of slag; and mining of gypsum for the manufacture and sale of gypsum wallboards used to finish the interior walls and ceilings in residential, commercial, and industrial structures, as well as well as containerboard and lightweight packaging grades. The company is also involved in the manufacture and sale of recycled paperboard to the gypsum wallboard industry and other paperboard converters; sale of readymix concrete; and mining and sale of aggregates, such as crushed stone, sand, and gravel. Its products are used in commercial and residential construction; public construction projects to build, expand, and repair roads and highways; and repair and remodel activities. The company was formerly known as Centex Construction Products, Inc. and changed its name to Eagle Materials, Inc. in January 2004. Eagle Materials Inc. was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Eagle Materials Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2026 versus $1.9B in FY2022, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $424M in FY2026, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution +4.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EXP screens 50% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Vulcan Materials (VMC) vs. MLM and EXP: Can Its Aggregates Shift Keep Lifting Margins?
- Should Eagle Materials’ Softer Earnings, Steady Dividend and New Shareholder Powers Require Action From EXP Investors?
- Daily Dividend Report: KMB,WLKP,EXP,RHI,WU,NOG
- Eagle Materials Declares Quarterly Dividend
Peer Group
Building Materials · 257 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $96.05 | $69.69 | −27% |
| Holcim AG HOLN | CHF 71.04 | CHF 20.00 | −72% |
| Vulcan Materials Company VMC | $259.69 | $114.48 | −56% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | −60% |
| Heidelberg Materials AG HEI | €170.05 | €167.96 | −1% |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM | $543.90 | $215.31 | −60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | −67% |
| Amrize AG AMRZ | CHF 37.65 | CHF 29.67 | −21% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | −62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CX | $11.24 | $11.31 | +1% |
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