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Energisa S.A (ENGI11) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$16.0B (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN BRENGICDAM16

What is Energisa S.A really worth?

ES Energisa S.A ENGI11 · SA
PriceR$51.37
Fair ValueR$99.05
Upside+92.8%
Quality25/100

Below-average quality, trading 48% below our fair value of R$99.05.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (9/13)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·3.31% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range R$61.76 – R$142.46

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R$87.20 to R$99.05 (+13.6%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$61.76). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$61.76 to R$142.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$58.15 R$27.53 Fair Value R$99.05 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$27.53 – R$58.15 · fair‑value band R$61.76 – R$142.46 · the R$51.37 price screens below the R$99.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Energisa S.A (ENGI11) currently trades at R$51.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$99.05, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$109.58 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$51.37 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$28.14, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Energisa S.A generated revenue of R$36.0B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at R$43.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$61.76 (bear case) to R$142.46 (bull case); at R$51.37, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 93%, ENGI11 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence R$38.68 R$44.23 R$70.83 75
EPV R$50.68 R$72.62 R$91.81 73
ROIC Compounder R$57.46 R$117.71 R$171.50 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$32.94 R$198.37 R$276.52 63
Lynch FV R$56.59 R$80.85 R$105.10 61
PEG = 1.0 R$56.59 R$80.85 R$105.10 57
EPV R$50.68 R$72.62 R$91.81 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$54.71 R$113.75 R$180.45 66
DDM Multi-Stage R$54.71 R$95.92 R$119.38 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$65.40 R$87.20 R$108.99 63
P/S Multiple R$61.76 R$82.35 R$102.94 58
P/B Multiple R$56.70 R$75.60 R$94.49 55
EV/EBIT R$91.81 R$149.38 R$206.94 64
EV/EBITDA R$69.05 R$119.03 R$169.02 65
EV/Revenue R$54.77 R$112.92 R$171.07 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$21.00 R$28.14 R$42.00 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence R$38.68 R$44.23 R$70.83 75
ROIC Compounder R$57.46 R$117.71 R$171.50 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$76.71 R$109.58 R$142.46 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$109.58) versus Asset-Based (R$28.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.8 as of Jul 13, 2026
P/S ratio 2.36 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) R$1.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.8
Dividend yield 3.3% payout 123%
Net margin 6.2% FY2025
Return on equity 12.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) R$36.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.0% 3y avg +11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −40.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −R$5.8B FY2025
Net debt R$43.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Energisa S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydraulic, solar, and wind projects. It also provides natural gas for businesses and vehicular natural gas, as well as value-added services.

Full company description

Energisa S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydraulic, solar, and wind projects. It also provides natural gas for businesses and vehicular natural gas, as well as value-added services. In addition, the company engages in aerial thermographic inspection and insurance brokerage activities. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Cataguases, Brazil. Energisa S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Gipar S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Energisa S.A reported revenue of R$35.4B in FY2025 versus R$26.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$2.2B in FY2025, compounding −3.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$35.4B
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.6% (3.3 + 3.3)
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 R$26.5B
FY22 R$25.7B
FY23 R$28.5B
FY24 R$33.7B
FY25 R$35.4B
Net income −3.9%/yr
FY21 R$2.6B
FY22 R$2.1B
FY23 R$1.9B
FY24 R$3.8B
FY25 R$2.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.9 %

of which total revenue +12.4 % · buybacks/dilution −4.8 %

EBIT margin +8.2 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Energisa S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENGI11

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +93% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE35 · sector 32
PAST48 · sector 39
HEALTH0 · sector 52
DIVIDEND66 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $83.47 $32.94 −61%
The Southern Company SO $88.25 $58.81 −33%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $120.25 $74.89 −38%
National Grid plc NGG $80.68 $63.94 −21%
American Electric Power Company AEP $122.96 $77.23 −37%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.01 $46.34 −30%
Entergy Corporation ETR $105.75 $52.92 −50%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $76.34 $44.61 −42%
Exelon Corporation EXC $43.96 $37.60 −14%
Endesa, S.A ELE €42.30 €25.72 −39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Energisa S.A (ENGI11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$99.05 versus a price of R$51.37, about +93% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ENGI11?
Our model-based fair value for Energisa S.A is R$99.05 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$51.37.
What is the quality score of ENGI11?
Energisa S.A has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Energisa S.A (ENGI11)?
Energisa S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$36.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENGI11?
The net profit margin of Energisa S.A is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Energisa S.A pay a dividend?
Energisa S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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