Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (ELPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $8.4B · ISIN US20441B7047
What is Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL really worth?
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL
ELPC · US
A solid business, but trading 64% above our fair value of $7.55.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $7.72 to $7.55 (−2.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.09 to $15.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range $4.53 – $13.39 · fair‑value band $6.09 – $15.31 · the $12.39 price screens above the $7.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL (ELPC) currently trades at $12.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.55, implying the stock looks roughly 64.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $61.09 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the $12.39 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.00, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL generated revenue of $27.3B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $13.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.09 (bear case) to $15.31 (bull case); at $12.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −39%, ELPC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($61.09) versus Dividend Discount ($6.00). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil.
Full company description
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Generation and Transmission of Electrical Energy; Electrical Energy Distribution; and Commercialization. It produces electricity from hydroelectric and wind power; and constructs, operates, and maintains substations, as well as lines for energy transmission. The company was formerly known as Companhia Paranaense de Energia Elétrica and changed its name to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL in October 1979. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL reported revenue of R$22.7B in FY2025 versus −R$13.3B in FY2021. Reported net income was R$2.8B in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ELPC screens 64% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Copel (ELPC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Zacks.com featured highlights include Invesco Aveanna Healthcare, Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL and ArcBest
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.96 | $37.60 | −14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
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