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DT Midstream Inc (DTM) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $14.8B · ISIN US23345M1071

What is DT Midstream Inc really worth?

DM DT Midstream Inc logo DT Midstream Inc DTM · US
Price$128.58
Fair Value$44.94
Upside−65.1%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 186% above our fair value of $44.94.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 36.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 69/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.5 %/yr)
!Trails peers (5/14)

For context

·2.60% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $17.29 – $61.91

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $45.32 to $44.94 (−0.8%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($61.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($17.29 to $61.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$150.74 $31.30 Fair Value $44.94 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $31.30 – $150.74 · fair‑value band $17.29 – $61.91 · the $128.58 price screens above the $44.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

DT Midstream Inc (DTM) currently trades at $128.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.94, implying the stock looks roughly 186.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $69.13 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $128.58 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $6.82, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, DT Midstream Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 36.3%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.29 (bear case) to $61.91 (bull case); at $128.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −65%, DTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7918 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $40.38 $44.28 $58.35 76
FCF DCF $30.80 $83.72 $177.15 74
EPV $11.82 $19.14 $25.54 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.80 $83.72 $177.15 74
Owner Earnings $5.14 $36.46 $91.76 66
5Y Revenue Exit $6.24 $20.22 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.70 $43.47 $81.66 70
5Y P/E Exit $16.60 $51.60 $91.58 66
10Y Revenue Exit $5.99 $21.00 $41.50 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.24 $48.45 $93.48 64
10Y P/E Exit $20.84 $54.45 $101.87 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $29.40 $141.52 $194.84 64
Lynch FV $37.80 $53.99 $70.19 61
PEG = 1.0 $37.80 $53.99 $70.19 57
EPV $11.82 $19.14 $25.54 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.16 $60.63 $96.19 66
DDM Multi-Stage $29.16 $51.13 $63.64 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $45.39 $60.52 $75.65 63
P/S Multiple $10.97 $14.62 $18.28 58
P/B Multiple $55.12 $73.49 $91.86 55
EV/EBIT $13.09 $28.13 $43.18 62
EV/EBITDA $7.16 $20.23 $33.30 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.21 $31.10 $46.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.16 $78.26 $160.65 72
Rev-Margin DCF $6.82 $22.62 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $40.38 $44.28 $58.35 76
ROIC Compounder $11.82 $19.14 $25.54 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $48.39 $69.13 $89.87 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($69.13) versus Growth DCF ($6.82). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.5
P/S ratio 10.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.51 price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.5
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 74.1%
Net margin 35.5% FY2025
Return on equity 9.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 49.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9% 3y avg +10.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $490M FY2025
Net debt $3.4B FY2025 · ≈ 6.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage systems, and natural gas gathering lateral pipelines.

Full company description

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage systems, and natural gas gathering lateral pipelines. This segment also engages in the transportation and storage of natural gas for intermediate and end-user customers. The Gathering segment owns and operates gas gathering systems. This segment is involved in the collection of natural gas for delivery to plants for treating, to gathering pipelines for further gathering, or to pipelines for transportation; and associated ancillary services, including compression, dehydration, gas treatment, water impoundment, water transportation, water disposal, and sand mining. It serves natural gas producers, local distribution companies, electric power generators, industrials, and national marketers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DT Midstream Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $840M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $441M in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+26.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.9% (6.3 + 2.6)
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 $840M
FY22 $920M
FY23 $922M
FY24 $981M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income +9.5%/yr
FY21 $307M
FY22 $370M
FY23 $384M
FY24 $354M
FY25 $441M

DTM screens 186% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DT Midstream Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DTM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 30.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE55 · sector 44
PAST39 · sector 42
HEALTH65 · sector 54
DIVIDEND52 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $50.72 $35.83 −29%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $74.05 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $39.02 $20.94 −46%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$88.72 C$24.53 −72%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.60 $10.92 −65%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $21.31 $11.45 −46%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $59.25 $36.42 −39%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $95.69 $58.62 −39%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $286.91 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $280.80 $199.99 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DT Midstream Inc (DTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.94 versus a price of $128.58, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DTM?
Our model-based fair value for DT Midstream Inc is $44.94 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $128.58.
What is the quality score of DTM?
DT Midstream Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DT Midstream Inc (DTM)?
DT Midstream Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DTM?
The net profit margin of DT Midstream Inc is about 36.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DT Midstream Inc pay a dividend?
DT Midstream Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
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