Concentra Group (CON) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.0B
Concentra Group
CON · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $28.42 to $27.71 (−2.5%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +13.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($10.63 to $50.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range $18.56 – $35.12 · fair‑value band $10.63 – $50.13 · the $35.12 price screens above the $27.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Concentra Group (CON) currently trades at $35.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.71, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Concentra Group generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 47.0%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.63 (bear case) to $50.13 (bull case); at $35.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -21%, CON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($29.71) versus Asset-Based ($2.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when CON reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. provides occupational health services in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Occupational Health centers, Onsite health clinics, and Other business.
Full company description
Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. provides occupational health services in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Occupational Health centers, Onsite health clinics, and Other business. It offers occupational health services, including workers compensation, employer, and consumer health services; and employer-sponsored primary care services at workplace, including mobile health and episodic specialty testing services. It also operates Concentra Telemed, a telemedicine platform for the treatment of work-related injuries and illnesses; Concentra Pharmacy for distributing repackaged medications; and Concentra Medical Compliance Administration, a third-party administrator that helps to manage abuse testing programs for employers with regulated or non-regulated workforces. In addition, the company provides injury care, primary care, urgent care, preventive care, clinical testing, physical examinations and evaluations, drug and alcohol screenings, clinical testing, vaccinations and other preventive care, and a range of consultative services designed to protect employees from workplace hazards. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Addison, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Concentra Group reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $173M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.
CON screens 21% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Concentra Poised to Benefit From AI Data Center Development, RBC Says
- CON or MEDP: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Concentra to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences
- Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
Compare Concentra Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Healthcare stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Concentra Group (CON) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CON?
What is the quality score of CON?
What is the revenue of Concentra Group (CON)?
What is the net profit margin of CON?
Does Concentra Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Concentra Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.