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DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc (DVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $14.9B · ISIN US23918K1088

What is DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc really worth?

DH DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc logo DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc DVA · US
Price$181.66
Fair Value$186.49
Upside+2.7%
Quality59/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $186.49.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.4 %/yr)
Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $73.35 – $233.11

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −20.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($73.35 to $233.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$240.96 $65.42 Fair Value $186.49 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.42 – $240.96 · fair‑value band $73.35 – $233.11 · the $181.66 price screens below the $186.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc (DVA) currently trades at $181.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $186.49, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $186.49 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $181.66 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $48.96, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 81.0%. Net debt stands at $14.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $73.35 (bear case) to $233.11 (bull case); at $181.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 3%, DVA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $6.96 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $68.59 $178.71 $353.52 74
EPV $78.90 $109.84 $136.92 72
Growth DCF $70.35 $178.66 $350.24 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $68.59 $178.71 $353.52 74
Owner Earnings $11.81 $86.28 $204.49 66
5Y Revenue Exit $84.91 $215.51 $385.96 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $145.67 $332.55 $556.50 71
5Y P/E Exit $35.85 $121.02 $211.92 66
10Y Revenue Exit $70.92 $190.20 $358.06 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $116.66 $272.76 $491.85 64
10Y P/E Exit $45.84 $123.54 $221.52 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $57.64 $205.39 $276.60 61
Lynch FV $48.30 $69.00 $89.70 58
PEG = 1.0 $48.30 $69.00 $89.70 55
EPV $78.90 $109.84 $136.92 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $27.93 $58.06 $92.11 64
DDM Multi-Stage $27.93 $48.96 $60.94 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $139.87 $186.49 $233.11 61
P/S Multiple $108.08 $144.11 $180.13 56
P/B Multiple $44.38 $59.17 $73.96 53
EV/EBIT $184.21 $281.21 $378.20 63
EV/EBITDA $218.12 $326.42 $434.71 65
EV/Revenue $100.91 $189.92 $278.92 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.57 $8.81 $13.15 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $70.35 $178.66 $350.24 72
Rev-Margin DCF $84.91 $213.82 $367.31 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73.01 $121.37 $2,664 63
ROIC Compounder $95.03 $157.05 $236.08 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $95.49 $136.42 $177.35 66

Widest divergence: Multiples ($186.49) versus Asset-Based ($8.81). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.5
P/S ratio 0.96 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $10.25 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.5
Dividend yield 2.2% payout 38.5%
Net margin 5.5% FY2025
Return on equity 81.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 13.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $13.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0% 3y avg +5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
Net debt $14.3B FY2025 · ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers.

Full company description

DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis dialysis services; operates clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers. In addition, the company offers integrated care and disease management services to patients in risk-based and other integrated care arrangements; clinical research programs; physician services; and comprehensive kidney care services. Further, it engages in the transplant software business. The company was formerly known as DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. and changed its name to DaVita Inc. in September 2016. DaVita Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc reported revenue of $13.6B in FY2025 versus $11.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $747M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.6B
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.8% (5.6 + 2.2)
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 $11.6B
FY22 $11.6B
FY23 $12.1B
FY24 $12.8B
FY25 $13.6B
Net income −6.5%/yr
FY21 $978M
FY22 $560M
FY23 $692M
FY24 $936M
FY25 $747M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.3 %

of which total revenue −0.8 % · buybacks/dilution +10.1 %

EBIT margin +2.3 %
Tax rate +2.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DVA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 256 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 81% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 8.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 12.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE37 · sector 23
FUTURE30 · sector 26
PAST100 · sector 30
HEALTH0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND43 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $417.82 $547.67 +31%
Fresenius SE FRE €45.25 €32.15 −29%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 241.00 SAR 112.37 SAR −53%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.67 SGD 1.44 SGD −46%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $266.80 $330.25 +24%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,818 ₹2,955 −66%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FME €39.92 €71.28 +79%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.25 ¥7.67 −7%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,005 ₹284.87 −72%
Encompass Health Corporation EHC $120.31 $109.77 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc (DVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $186.49 versus a price of $181.66, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DVA?
Our model-based fair value for DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc is $186.49 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $181.66.
What is the quality score of DVA?
DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc (DVA)?
DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DVA?
The net profit margin of DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc pay a dividend?
DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
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