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Fresenius Medical Care AG (FME) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · DE · Market cap €11.4B

FM Fresenius Medical Care AG FME · XETRA
Price€41.04
Fair Value€39.20
Upside-4.5%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range €25.54 – €55.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €71.28 to €39.20 (−45.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€25.54 to €55.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€61.33 €23.25 Fair Value €39.20 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €23.25 – €61.33 · fair‑value band €25.54 – €55.08 · the €41.04 price screens above the €39.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care AG (FME) currently trades at €41.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €39.20, implying the stock looks roughly 4.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fresenius Medical Care AG generated revenue of €19.4B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at €12.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €25.54 (bear case) to €55.08 (bull case); at €41.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -4%, FME screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €58.81 €91.67 €137.66 80
Residual Income €40.67 €43.14 €46.98 76
Rev-Margin DCF €48.45 €83.01 €121.53 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €57.14 €93.41 €146.99 38
Owner Earnings €47.32 €78.67 €124.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit €48.45 €82.46 €124.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €83.93 €147.24 €219.74 41
5Y P/E Exit €44.67 €75.56 €106.91 38
10Y Revenue Exit €49.13 €80.54 €120.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €73.38 €124.94 €191.53 37
10Y P/E Exit €48.59 €75.82 €107.31 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €24.76 €67.87 €89.04 54
Lynch FV €13.46 €19.23 €25.00 50
PEG = 1.0 €13.46 €19.23 €25.00 46
EPV €38.56 €47.52 €55.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €14.45 €30.03 €47.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage €14.45 €22.64 €31.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €60.09 €80.11 €100.14 63
P/S Multiple €46.43 €61.91 €77.38 58
P/B Multiple €46.43 €61.91 €77.38 55
EV/EBIT €72.02 €101.10 €130.19 53
EV/EBITDA €113.83 €156.86 €199.88 54
EV/Revenue €47.04 €73.73 €100.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €24.78 €33.20 €49.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €58.81 €91.67 €137.66 80
Rev-Margin DCF €48.45 €83.01 €121.53 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €40.67 €43.14 €46.98 76
ROIC Compounder €38.56 €47.52 €60.48 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €47.44 €67.77 €88.10 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€83.01) versus Earnings-Based (€19.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €19.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow €1.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) €3.27
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net debt €12.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fresenius Medical Care AG provides dialysis and related services for individuals with renal diseases in Germany, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Fresenius Medical Care AG provides dialysis and related services for individuals with renal diseases in Germany, the United States, and internationally. The company offers dialysis treatment and related laboratory and diagnostic services through a network of outpatient dialysis clinics; materials, training, and patient support services comprising clinical monitoring, follow-up assistance, and arranging for delivery of the supplies to the patient's residence; and dialysis services under contract to hospitals in the United States for the hospitalized end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients and for patients suffering from acute kidney failure. The company operates through Care Delivery and Care Enablement segments. It also develops, manufactures, and distributes various health care products, including hemodialysis machines, peritoneal dialysis cyclers, peritoneal dialysis solutions, hemodialysis concentrates, solutions and granulates, bloodlines, renal pharmaceuticals, systems for water treatment, and acute cardiopulmonary and apheresis products. In addition, the company develops, acquires, and in-licenses renal pharmaceuticals; offers renal medications and supplies to patients at homes or to dialysis clinics; and provides vascular specialty, ambulatory surgery center, physician nephrology practice management, pharmacy and other services. The company sells its products to dialysis clinics, hospitals, and specialized treatment clinics, as well as through local sales forces, independent distributors, dealers, and sales agents. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Bad Homburg, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fresenius Medical Care AG reported revenue of €19.6B in FY2025 versus €17.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €978M in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€19.6B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 €17.6B
FY22 €19.4B
FY23 €19.5B
FY24 €19.3B
FY25 €19.6B
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 €969M
FY22 €673M
FY23 €499M
FY24 €538M
FY25 €978M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.3 pp

of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp

EBIT margin −6.4 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fresenius Medical Care AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FME

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.88× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 31 · sector 30
HEALTH 79 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 38

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fresenius Medical Care AG (FME) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €39.20 versus a price of €41.04, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FME?
Our model-based fair value for Fresenius Medical Care AG is €39.20 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €41.04.
What is the quality score of FME?
Fresenius Medical Care AG has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fresenius Medical Care AG (FME)?
Fresenius Medical Care AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FME?
The net profit margin of Fresenius Medical Care AG is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fresenius Medical Care AG pay a dividend?
Fresenius Medical Care AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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