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Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 83.8B CNY (≈ $12.5B) · ISIN CNE100000GR6

What is Aier Eye Hospital Group really worth?

AE Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 · SHE
Price¥8.39
Fair Value¥7.67
Upside−8.6%
Quality63/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥7.67.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100

For context

·2.15% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥5.75 – ¥9.58

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −6.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥40.07 ¥7.91 Fair Value ¥7.67 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.91 – ¥40.07 · fair‑value band ¥5.75 – ¥9.58 · the ¥8.39 price screens above the ¥7.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015) currently trades at ¥8.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.67, implying the stock looks roughly 9.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥13.25 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥8.39 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.58, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aier Eye Hospital Group generated revenue of 22.7B CNY at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.2%. Net debt stands at 651M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.75 (bear case) to ¥9.58 (bull case); at ¥8.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −9%, 300015 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1218 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥7.58 ¥11.60 ¥24.43 76
Growth DCF ¥7.16 ¥12.84 ¥24.32 75
EPV ¥4.69 ¥5.38 ¥5.98 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.58 ¥11.60 ¥24.43 76
Owner Earnings ¥5.49 ¥11.79 ¥25.02 71
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.24 ¥10.66 ¥19.68 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.02 ¥14.33 ¥26.43 72
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.70 ¥13.74 ¥23.12 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.44 ¥13.25 ¥18.72 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.93 ¥16.91 ¥33.74 64
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.98 ¥14.19 ¥26.75 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.37 ¥16.52 ¥23.19 63
Lynch FV ¥5.70 ¥8.15 ¥10.59 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.70 ¥8.15 ¥10.59 57
EPV ¥4.69 ¥5.38 ¥5.98 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.51 ¥3.13 ¥4.97 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.51 ¥2.64 ¥3.29 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.75 ¥7.67 ¥9.58 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.44 ¥5.92 ¥7.40 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.44 ¥5.92 ¥7.40 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.27 ¥9.51 ¥11.75 66
EV/EBITDA ¥8.09 ¥10.60 ¥13.12 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.35 ¥7.40 ¥9.45 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.18 ¥1.58 ¥2.36 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.16 ¥12.84 ¥24.32 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.24 ¥12.11 ¥21.56 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.35 ¥3.01 ¥7.31 69
ROIC Compounder ¥5.88 ¥8.51 ¥11.78 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.60 ¥10.86 ¥14.11 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.25) versus Asset-Based (¥1.58). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 23.3
P/S ratio 3.38 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.3
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 50.0%
Net margin 14.5% FY2025
Return on equity 15.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 25.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 22.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1% 3y avg +11.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 3.9B CNY FY2025
Net debt 651M CNY FY2024 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd. operates as an ophthalmic medical company in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the United States, Europe, and Southeast Asia. It offers diagnosis and treatment of various ophthalmic diseases, surgical services, medical optometry, and lens fitting for fundus diseases, glaucoma, and cataract.

Full company description

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd. operates as an ophthalmic medical company in China, Hong Kong, Europe, the United States, Europe, and Southeast Asia. It offers diagnosis and treatment of various ophthalmic diseases, surgical services, medical optometry, and lens fitting for fundus diseases, glaucoma, and cataract. The company also provides training courses for cataract cases, ICL surgery, and presbyopia surgery. Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Changsha, China

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aier Eye Hospital Group reported revenue of 22.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 15.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
22.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.6% (12.5 + 2.1)
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 15.0B CNY
FY22 16.1B CNY
FY23 20.4B CNY
FY24 21.0B CNY
FY25 22.4B CNY
Net income +8.7%/yr
FY21 2.3B CNY
FY22 2.5B CNY
FY23 3.4B CNY
FY24 3.6B CNY
FY25 3.2B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +27.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +23.6 %

of which total revenue +25.3 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %

EBIT margin +2.9 %
Tax rate +0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aier Eye Hospital Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300015

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 256 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.65× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE22 · sector 23
FUTURE31 · sector 26
PAST61 · sector 30
HEALTH100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND43 · sector 43

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $417.82 $547.67 +31%
Fresenius SE FRE €45.25 €32.15 −29%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 241.00 SAR 112.37 SAR −53%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.67 SGD 1.44 SGD −46%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $266.80 $330.25 +24%
DaVita Inc DVA $180.68 $186.49 +3%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,818 ₹2,955 −66%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FME €39.92 €71.28 +79%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,005 ₹284.87 −72%
Encompass Health Corporation EHC $120.31 $109.77 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.67 versus a price of ¥8.39, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300015?
Our model-based fair value for Aier Eye Hospital Group is ¥7.67 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.39.
What is the quality score of 300015?
Aier Eye Hospital Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015)?
Aier Eye Hospital Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300015?
The net profit margin of Aier Eye Hospital Group is about 14.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aier Eye Hospital Group pay a dividend?
Aier Eye Hospital Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.15% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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