Compass Inc (COMP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $8.6B · ISIN US20464U1007
What is Compass Inc really worth?
Compass Inc
COMP · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 670% above our fair value of $1.44.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Share price −7.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.00 to $1.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.85 – $17.21 · fair‑value band $1.00 – $1.87 · the $11.06 price screens above the $1.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Compass Inc (COMP) currently trades at $11.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.44, implying the stock looks roughly 669.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $6.55 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $11.06 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.7100, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Compass Inc generated revenue of $8.3B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 99.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at $255M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.00 (bear case) to $1.87 (bull case); at $11.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −87%, COMP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0135 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($6.55) versus Asset-Based ($0.7100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Compass, Inc. provides an end-to-end technology platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company offers the Compass Platform, a technology platform that provides an integrated suite of cloud-based software for customer relationship management, marketing, client service, brokerage services, and other functionalities for the real estate …
Full company description
Compass, Inc. provides an end-to-end technology platform for residential real estate in the United States. The company offers the Compass Platform, a technology platform that provides an integrated suite of cloud-based software for customer relationship management, marketing, client service, brokerage services, and other functionalities for the real estate industry, as well as title, escrow, and mortgage services. It also operates Christie's International Real Estate (CIRE) platform, a multi-tenant technology platform for affiliates and its agents; Anywhere tools and services; and Compass Concierge, a program that provides home sellers with access to capital to front the cost of home improvement services. The company was formerly known as Urban Compass, Inc. and changed its name to Compass, Inc. in January 2021. Compass, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Compass Inc reported revenue of $7.0B in FY2025 versus $6.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$58.5M in FY2025.
COMP screens 670% overvalued. Compare with CBRE Group →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 523 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $148.74 | $69.47 | −53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.85 | €36.67 | +85% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | −7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | −62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $378.01 | $290.25 | −23% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | −79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.22 | $4.64 | −86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | −12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.66 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | −82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 4,040 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +13% |
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