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CenterPoint Energy, Inc (CNP) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $28.3B

CE CenterPoint Energy, Inc logo CenterPoint Energy, Inc CNP · US
Price$40.48
Fair Value$19.55
Upside-51.7%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
2.02% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: Medium Range $13.98 – $29.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $22.75 to $19.55 (−14.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −7.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($13.98 to $29.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.04 $20.71 Fair Value $19.55 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.71 – $45.04 · fair‑value band $13.98 – $29.57 · the $40.48 price screens above the $19.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CenterPoint Energy, Inc (CNP) currently trades at $40.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.55, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CenterPoint Energy, Inc generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 11.4%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $23.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.98 (bear case) to $29.57 (bull case); at $40.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -52%, CNP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $14.83 $16.31 $22.38 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8900 $4.92 72
Gordon GGM $8.06 $11.71 $15.52 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.94 $22.17 $27.91 54
EPV $0.8900 $4.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.06 $11.71 $15.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.06 $11.39 $15.23 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.71 $28.95 $36.18 63
P/S Multiple $20.50 $27.34 $34.17 58
P/B Multiple $20.50 $27.34 $34.17 55
EV/EBIT $4.92 $17.02 $29.11 53
EV/EBITDA $10.37 $24.28 $38.19 54
EV/Revenue $4.40 $15.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.52 $11.42 $17.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.83 $16.31 $22.38 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8900 $4.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.92 $22.75 $29.57 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($24.28) versus Earnings-Based ($0.8900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin 11.4%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −$2.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.8
More key figures
Operating margin 22.0%
EPS (TTM) $1.63
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net debt $23.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric; Natural Gas; and Corporate and Other segments.

Full company description

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through Electric; Natural Gas; and Corporate and Other segments. The Electric segment provides electric transmission and distribution services to electric customers and electric generation assets, as well as optimizes assets in the wholesale power market in Indiana Electric's service territory. The Natural Gas segment engages in the intrastate natural gas sales, and natural gas transportation and distribution for residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Indiana, Minnesota, Ohio, and Texas; permanent pipeline connections through interconnects with various interstate and intrastate pipeline companies; and provides home appliance maintenance and repair services to customers in Minnesota and home repair protection plans to natural gas customers in Indiana, Mississippi, Ohio, and Texas through a third party. As of December 31, 2025, it served approximately 2,859,313 metered customers; owned 355 substations with transformer capacity of 81,692 megavolt amperes; and owned and operated approximately 208 miles of intrastate pipeline in Louisiana and Texas. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CenterPoint Energy, Inc reported revenue of $9.4B in FY2025 versus $8.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.4B
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 $8.4B
FY22 $9.3B
FY23 $8.7B
FY24 $8.6B
FY25 $9.4B
Net income −8.3%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $917M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −3.7 pp

of which total revenue +0.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.4 pp

EBIT margin +7.3 pp
Tax rate +2.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CNP screens 52% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CenterPoint Energy, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNP

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.01× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.56× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 2
FUTURE 10 · sector 32
PAST 38 · sector 39
HEALTH 8 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $85.78 $32.94 -62%
The Southern Company SO $92.52 $58.81 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $123.19 $74.89 -39%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,886 ARS -27%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹339.45 ₹375.02 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 244.80 PLN 167.29 PLN -32%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹269.45 ₹252.77 -6%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.81 ¥6.73 -24%
CLP Holdings 0002 HK$77.90 HK$42.12 -46%
Tenaga Nasional Berhad 5347 14.58 MYR 14.72 MYR +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CenterPoint Energy, Inc (CNP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.55 versus a price of $40.48, about −52% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNP?
Our model-based fair value for CenterPoint Energy, Inc is $19.55 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $40.48.
What is the quality score of CNP?
CenterPoint Energy, Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CenterPoint Energy, Inc (CNP)?
CenterPoint Energy, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNP?
The net profit margin of CenterPoint Energy, Inc is about 11.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CenterPoint Energy, Inc pay a dividend?
CenterPoint Energy, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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