CIG-C Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $8.8B · ISIN US2044098828
What is CIG-C really worth?
CIG-C
CIG-C · US
Below-average quality, trading 33% below our fair value of $4.86.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $4.82 to $4.86 (+0.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.38 to $7.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9865 – $3.87 · fair‑value band $2.38 – $7.06 · the $3.28 price screens below the $4.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
CIG-C (CIG-C) currently trades at $3.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.86, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $25.56 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $3.28 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.69, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, CIG-C generated revenue of $43.4B at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at $18.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.38 (bear case) to $7.06 (bull case); at $3.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 48%, CIG-C screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($25.56) versus Asset-Based ($6.69). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil.
Full company description
Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 32 hydro plants with a total capacity of 4,434 M, 2 wind farms with a total capacity of 71 MW, and 12 photovoltaic power stations with a total capacity of 169 MW; 365,577 miles of distribution lines; and 4,865 miles of transmission lines. It is also involved in the acquisition, transportation, and distribution of gas and its sub products and derivatives; sale and trading of energy; construction, implementation, operation and maintenance of electricity transmission; marketing and intermediation of energy-related business; installation, operation, maintenance and rental of solar plants; and distributed generation, account services, cogeneration, energy efficiency, and supply and storage management activities. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CIG-C reported revenue of R$42.8B in FY2025 versus R$33.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was R$4.9B in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution −4.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.96 | $37.60 | −14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
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