Grupo Comercial Chedraui S.A.B. de C.V (CHDRAUIB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 86.8B MXN (≈ $5.1B) · ISIN MX01CH170002
What is Grupo Comercial Chedraui S.A.B. de C.V really worth?
A solid business, trading 38% below our fair value of 142.99 MXN.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (107.24 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.80 MXN – 156.75 MXN · fair‑value band 107.24 MXN – 178.74 MXN · the 88.81 MXN price screens below the 142.99 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Grupo Comercial Chedraui S.A.B. de C.V (CHDRAUIB) currently trades at 88.81 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 142.99 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 298.49 MXN per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the 88.81 MXN price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 36.06 MXN, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Comercial Chedraui S.A.B. de C.V generated revenue of 291B MXN at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at 1.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 107.24 MXN (bear case) to 178.74 MXN (bull case); at 88.81 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 61%, CHDRAUIB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 3.10 MXN per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (298.49 MXN) versus Asset-Based (36.06 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. operates self"service and real estate stores in Mexico and the United States. The company operates supermarkets for fruits, vegetables, meats, fish, seafood, pantry, sausage shop, diapers, dairy and eggs, bakery and tortilla shop, refrigerated and frozen, beverages, home cleaning, disposables, dairy and eggs, and …
Full company description
Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. operates self"service and real estate stores in Mexico and the United States. The company operates supermarkets for fruits, vegetables, meats, fish, seafood, pantry, sausage shop, diapers, dairy and eggs, bakery and tortilla shop, refrigerated and frozen, beverages, home cleaning, disposables, dairy and eggs, and cheese products; personal care and hygiene, including hair care, body care, oral hygiene, facial care, intimate hygiene, and hair dyes for women and men; pharmacy comprising drugs, incontinence, medical equipment and kit, vitamins and supplements, sexual health; beauty, which includes cosmetics, manicure and pedicure, fragrances, and shaving and waxing; pet products for dogs, cats, and other pets; baby products, including clothes, baby hygiene and care, infant formulas and foods, breastfeeding and feeding, diapers, and baby walk; and technological products comprising television, audio, computation, smart home, telephony, geek world. It also offers appliances, including refrigeration, stoves and grills, washing and drying, ironing, heating, vacuum cleaners and accessories, air conditioners, and water dispensers and purifiers; home and garden, automobiles and motorcycles; stationery and office, comprising arts and crafts, notebooks, writing, backpacks, and lunch boxes; toys which includes baby toys, dolls, teddies, action figures and collectibles, vehicles and tracks, blocks and construction, board games and puzzles, crafts and educational games, outdoor games, and imitations; sports, such as camping, swimming, cycling, team sports, racket sports, boxing, and luggage; home and garden, including bath, kitchen, home organization, bedroom, home decor, party items, seasons, patio and garden, and home maintenance; fashion comprising women's, girls, children's and men's clothing, and shoemaking; and automobiles and motorcycles related products. The company was founded in 1920 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo Comercial Chedraui S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 295B MXN in FY2025 versus 188B MXN in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 6.5B MXN in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Grupo Comercial Chedraui (BMV:CHDRAUI B) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim After Analyst Caution
- GRUPO COMERCIAL CHEDRAUI, S.A.B. DE C.V. SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS
- How The Story Is Shifting For Grupo Comercial Chedraui (BMV:CHDRAUI B) After Valuation Reset
- Grupo Comercial Chedraui SAB de CV (GCHEF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating ...
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$60.79 | C$44.44 | −27% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €30.57 | €53.50 | +75% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $57.72 | $28.19 | −51% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$40.32 | A$8.33 | −79% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$98.50 | C$147.70 | +50% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$88.26 | C$94.01 | +7% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.63 | €11.19 | −28% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.81 SGD | 2.35 SGD | +30% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 418.25 TRY | 267.12 TRY | −36% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOA | €21.25 | €11.62 | −45% |
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