WN.TO (WN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$38.1B (≈ $27.5B) · ISIN CA9611485090
What is WN.TO really worth?
A solid business, trading 32% below our fair value of C$147.70.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (C$81.39 to C$217.04). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$35.87 – C$107.24 · fair‑value band C$81.39 – C$217.04 · the C$100.50 price screens below the C$147.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
WN.TO (WN) currently trades at C$100.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$147.70, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$101.98 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the C$100.50 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$26.33, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, WN.TO generated revenue of C$65.1B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. Net debt stands at C$18.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$81.39 (bear case) to C$217.04 (bull case); at C$100.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 47%, WN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$1.04 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$101.98) versus Asset-Based (C$9.38). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties).
Full company description
George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties). The Loblaw segment provides grocery, corporate and franchise-owned retail food, and associate-owned drug stores, including in-store pharmacies, health care services, health and beauty products, apparel, and other general merchandise. This segment offers credit card and banking services, guaranteed investment certificates, loyalty program, insurance brokerage services, and telecommunication services. The Choice Properties segment owns, develops, and manages commercial and residential properties, which are leased to necessity-based tenants and logistics providers. The company markets its products under the Shoppers Drug Mart, Joe Fresh, President's Choice Bank, PC Financial, no name, Farmer's Market, T&T, Life Brand, and PC Optimum brands. The company was founded in 1882 and is based in Toronto, Canada. George Weston Limited is a subsidiary of Wittington Investments, Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
WN.TO reported revenue of C$64.5B in FY2025 versus C$53.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.1B in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
of which total revenue +3.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$60.79 | C$44.44 | −27% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €30.57 | €53.50 | +75% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $57.72 | $28.19 | −51% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$40.32 | A$8.33 | −79% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$88.26 | C$94.01 | +7% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.63 | €11.19 | −28% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.81 SGD | 2.35 SGD | +30% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 418.25 TRY | 267.12 TRY | −36% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOA | €21.25 | €11.62 | −45% |
| President Chain Store Corporation 2912 | 219.50 TWD | 183.31 TWD | −16% |
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