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Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.0B · ISIN US9116841084

What is Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. really worth?

AD Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. logo Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. AD · US
Price$38.73
Fair Value$22.51
Upside−41.9%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 72% above our fair value of $22.51.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 110.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −47.4 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $15.32 – $38.31

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +9.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($15.32 to $38.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.05 $6.51 Fair Value $22.51 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.51 – $44.05 · fair‑value band $15.32 – $38.31 · the $38.73 price screens above the $22.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) currently trades at $38.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.51, implying the stock looks roughly 72.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $217.84 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the $38.73 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $18.78, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $188M. Revenue grew 92.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.32 (bear case) to $38.31 (bull case); at $38.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −42%, AD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.69 per share, which is 11.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $12.04 $18.78 $30.87 77
Growth DCF $12.82 $19.31 $30.07 76
Owner Earnings $26.72 $38.82 $60.55 75
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.04 $18.78 $30.87 77
Owner Earnings $26.72 $38.82 $60.55 75
5Y Revenue Exit $3.13 $5.22 $8.20 70
5Y P/E Exit $29.25 $50.43 $75.64 69
10Y Revenue Exit $6.52 $8.37 $10.14 67
10Y P/E Exit $22.12 $35.70 $48.83 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.66 $27.70 $31.16 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $199.89 $217.84 $245.00 67
DDM Multi-Stage $199.89 $246.99 $311.30 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $54.99 $73.32 $91.65 61
P/S Multiple $4.90 $6.53 $8.17 56
P/B Multiple $42.49 $56.66 $70.82 53
EV/Revenue $0.9000 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.71 $19.71 $29.41 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.82 $19.31 $30.07 76
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.57 $29.88 $43.73 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $38.76 $55.38 $71.99 66

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($217.84) versus DCF Models ($18.78). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.9 as of Jun 5, 2026
P/S ratio 23.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.97 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9
Net margin 111% TTM
Return on equity 10.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 9.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $188M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +92.8% 3y avg −66.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +909%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $174M FY2025
Net debt $1.6B FY2025 · ≈ 9.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. owns and operates shared wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The company deploys 5G and other wireless technologies through its 4,400 cell towers. It also leases tower space to tenants. In addition, the company offers ancillary services.

Full company description

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. owns and operates shared wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The company deploys 5G and other wireless technologies through its 4,400 cell towers. It also leases tower space to tenants. In addition, the company offers ancillary services. It serves organizations, wireless carriers, government agencies, municipalities, wireless internet service providers, and broadband providers. The company was formerly known as United States Cellular Corporation and changed its name to Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. is a subsidiary of Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. reported revenue of $163M in FY2025 versus $4.1B in FY2021, a compound −55.4%/yr. Reported net income was $291M in FY2025, compounding +17.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$163M
Latest YoY
−95.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−66.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−47.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.8% (0.8 + 0.0)
Revenue −55.4%/yr
FY21 $4.1B
FY22 $4.2B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $3.8B
FY25 $163M
Net income +17.0%/yr
FY21 $155M
FY22 $30.0M
FY23 $54.0M
FY24 −$39.0M
FY25 $291M

AD screens 72% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AD

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 111% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 93% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 16.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.27× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 28
FUTURE100 · sector 16
PAST43 · sector 28
HEALTH87 · sector 89
DIVIDEND0 · sector 76

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $177.75 $172.67 −3%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $49.43 $64.43 +30%
AT&T Inc T $26.01 $43.97 +69%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,935 ₹941.48 −51%
Comcast Corporation CMCSA $26.41 $95.42 +261%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $23.50 $39.45 +68%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 4.29 SGD 3.03 SGD −29%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 627.50 CHF 463.92 −26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.51 versus a price of $38.73, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AD?
Our model-based fair value for Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. is $22.51 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $38.73.
What is the quality score of AD?
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD)?
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $188M (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AD?
The net profit margin of Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. is about 110.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 110.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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