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Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc (AD) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.0B

AD Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc logo Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc AD · US
Price$35.70
Fair Value$22.51
Upside-37.0%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 110.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $15.32 – $38.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $55.38 to $22.51 (−59.4%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($15.32 to $38.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.05 $6.51 Fair Value $22.51 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.51 – $44.05 · fair‑value band $15.32 – $38.31 · the $35.70 price screens above the $22.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc (AD) currently trades at $35.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.51, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $188M. Revenue grew 92.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.32 (bear case) to $38.31 (bull case); at $35.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at -37%, AD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.82 $19.31 $30.07 80
Residual Income $26.57 $29.88 $43.73 76
Gordon GGM $199.89 $217.84 $245.00 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.04 $18.78 $30.87 38
Owner Earnings $26.72 $38.82 $60.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.13 $5.22 $8.20 39
5Y P/E Exit $29.25 $50.43 $75.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.52 $8.37 $10.14 36
10Y P/E Exit $22.12 $35.70 $48.83 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.66 $27.70 $31.16 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $199.89 $217.84 $245.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage $199.89 $246.99 $311.30 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $54.99 $73.32 $91.65 63
P/S Multiple $4.90 $6.53 $8.17 58
P/B Multiple $42.49 $56.66 $70.82 55
EV/Revenue $0.9000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.71 $19.71 $29.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.82 $19.31 $30.07 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.57 $29.88 $43.73 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $38.76 $55.38 $71.99 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($217.84) versus DCF Models ($18.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $188M
Revenue growth (YoY) +92.8%
Net margin 111%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow $174M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9 as of Jun 5, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 9.7%
EPS (TTM) $3.97
EPS growth (YoY) +909%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. owns and operates shared wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The company deploys 5G and other wireless technologies through its 4,400 cell towers. It also leases tower space to tenants. In addition, the company offers ancillary services.

Full company description

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. owns and operates shared wireless communications infrastructure in the United States. The company deploys 5G and other wireless technologies through its 4,400 cell towers. It also leases tower space to tenants. In addition, the company offers ancillary services. It serves organizations, wireless carriers, government agencies, municipalities, wireless internet service providers, and broadband providers. The company was formerly known as United States Cellular Corporation and changed its name to Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. is a subsidiary of Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc reported revenue of $163M in FY2025 versus $4.1B in FY2021, a compound −55.4%/yr. Reported net income was $291M in FY2025, compounding +17.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$163M
Latest YoY
−95.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−66.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−47.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.1%
Revenue −55.4%/yr
FY21 $4.1B
FY22 $4.2B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $3.8B
FY25 $163M
Net income +17.0%/yr
FY21 $155M
FY22 $30.0M
FY23 $54.0M
FY24 −$39.0M
FY25 $291M

AD screens 37% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AD

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 111% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 93% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 16.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.27× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 43 · sector 27
HEALTH 87 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,945 ₹941.55 -52%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 494.99 MXN +91%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 374.00 THB 286.77 THB -23%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 136.00 TWD 100.00 TWD -26%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 108.96 MXN +44%
TLKM TLKM 2,590 IDR 3,898 IDR +50%
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET 9,500 IDR 1,503 IDR -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc (AD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.51 versus a price of $35.70, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AD?
Our model-based fair value for Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc is $22.51 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $35.70.
What is the quality score of AD?
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc (AD)?
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $188M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AD?
The net profit margin of Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc is about 110.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 110.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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