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Comcast Corp (CMCSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $84.2B · ISIN US20030N1019

What is Comcast Corp really worth?

CC Comcast Corp logo Comcast Corp CMCSA · US
Price$26.65
Fair Value$79.95
Upside+200.0%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 67% below our fair value of $79.95.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)

Risks

!Moderate moat 62/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100

For context

·4.95% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range $51.05 – $118.39

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from $95.42 to $79.95 (−16.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +6.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($51.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($51.05 to $118.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.17 $21.92 Fair Value $79.95 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.92 – $49.17 · fair‑value band $51.05 – $118.39 · the $26.65 price screens below the $79.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Comcast Corp (CMCSA) currently trades at $26.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $79.95, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $117.72 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $26.65 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $18.22, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Comcast Corp generated revenue of $125B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at $101B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.05 (bear case) to $118.39 (bull case); at $26.65, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 200%, CMCSA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.57 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $55.63 $119.33 $229.93 76
Growth DCF $55.08 $113.68 $212.79 74
EPV $15.50 $21.98 $27.66 73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $55.63 $119.33 $229.93 76
Owner Earnings $64.89 $136.07 $259.63 72
5Y Revenue Exit $37.35 $79.53 $136.14 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $60.26 $126.68 $209.94 72
5Y P/E Exit $59.92 $125.98 $201.43 68
10Y Revenue Exit $41.05 $83.20 $146.57 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $58.04 $117.72 $208.25 65
10Y P/E Exit $57.81 $117.20 $201.14 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.17 $176.06 $241.75 64
Lynch FV $46.32 $66.18 $86.03 61
PEG = 1.0 $46.32 $66.18 $86.03 57
EPV $15.50 $21.98 $27.66 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.61 $26.22 $41.60 66
DDM Multi-Stage $12.61 $22.11 $27.52 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $92.61 $123.49 $154.36 63
P/S Multiple $71.57 $95.42 $119.28 58
P/B Multiple $71.40 $95.20 $119.00 55
EV/EBIT $46.18 $69.39 $92.60 65
EV/EBITDA $69.73 $100.78 $131.84 67
EV/Revenue $29.36 $51.99 $74.61 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.60 $18.22 $27.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $55.08 $113.68 $212.79 74
Rev-Margin DCF $37.35 $78.85 $132.42 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $37.20 $50.08 $226.35 64
ROIC Compounder $15.50 $21.98 $28.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $76.08 $108.69 $141.30 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($117.72) versus Asset-Based ($18.22). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.2
P/S ratio 0.84 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.10 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.2
Dividend yield 5.0% payout 25.9%
Net margin 16.2% FY2025
Return on equity 20.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 13.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $125B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3% 3y avg +0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −32.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $21.9B FY2025
Net debt $101B FY2025 · ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. The company operates through Residential Connectivity & Platforms, Business Services Connectivity, Media, Studios, and Theme Parks segments.

Full company description

Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. The company operates through Residential Connectivity & Platforms, Business Services Connectivity, Media, Studios, and Theme Parks segments. Its Residential Connectivity & Platforms segment provides residential broadband and wireless connectivity services, residential and business video services, sky-branded entertainment television networks, and advertising. The Business Services Connectivity segment offers connectivity services for small business locations, which include broadband, wireline voice, and wireless services; and ethernet network services for medium-sized customers and larger enterprises. Its Media segment operates NBCUniversal's national and regional cable networks; the NBC and Telemundo broadcast networks and owned local broadcast television stations; and Peacock, a direct-to-consumer streaming services. The company also operates international television networks comprising the Sky Sports networks, as well as other digital properties. Its Studios segment operates NBCUniversal and Sky film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. It also offers a consolidated streaming platforms under the Philadelphia Flyers and the Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and Xumo. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Comcast Corp reported revenue of $124B in FY2025 versus $116B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $20.0B in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$124B
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+19.2% (14.2 + 5.0)
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 $116B
FY22 $121B
FY23 $122B
FY24 $124B
FY25 $124B
Net income +9.0%/yr
FY21 $14.2B
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 $15.4B
FY24 $16.2B
FY25 $20.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.1 %

of which total revenue +5.7 % · buybacks/dilution +3.2 %

EBIT margin −1.7 %
Tax rate +2.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Comcast Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMCSA

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 142.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 28
FUTURE27 · sector 16
PAST84 · sector 28
HEALTH52 · sector 89
DIVIDEND99 · sector 76

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $177.75 $172.67 −3%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $49.43 $64.43 +30%
AT&T Inc T $26.01 $43.97 +69%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,935 ₹941.48 −51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $23.50 $39.45 +68%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 4.29 SGD 3.03 SGD −29%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 627.50 CHF 463.92 −26%
Telstra Group TLS A$4.80 A$3.31 −31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Comcast Corp (CMCSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $79.95 versus a price of $26.65, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CMCSA?
Our model-based fair value for Comcast Corp is $79.95 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.65.
What is the quality score of CMCSA?
Comcast Corp has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Comcast Corp (CMCSA)?
Comcast Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $125B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMCSA?
The net profit margin of Comcast Corp is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Comcast Corp pay a dividend?
Comcast Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.95% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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