T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $196B · ISIN US8725901040
What is T-Mobile US Inc really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $172.67.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($129.50 to $351.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $97.18 – $266.80 · fair‑value band $129.50 – $351.62 · the $188.02 price screens above the $172.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS) currently trades at $188.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $172.67, implying the stock looks roughly 8.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $314.27 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $188.02 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $36.65, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, T-Mobile US Inc generated revenue of $90.5B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. Net debt stands at $117B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $129.50 (bear case) to $351.62 (bull case); at $188.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −8%, TMUS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.76 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($314.27) versus Asset-Based ($36.65). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers.
Full company description
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories; financing through equipment installment plans; reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. The company offers services under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, and its websites, as well as through T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile apps. It also sells devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
T-Mobile US Inc reported revenue of $88.3B in FY2025 versus $80.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $11.0B in FY2025, compounding +38.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.7 % · buybacks/dilution −3.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.80 | A$3.31 | −31% |
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