Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $2.4B · ISIN US1550382014
What is Central Puerto S.A. really worth?
Central Puerto S.A.
CEPU · US
A solid business, trading 37% below our fair value of $22.39.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −3.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($11.87 to $41.56). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.91 – $17.95 · fair‑value band $11.87 – $41.56 · the $14.03 price screens below the $22.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU) currently trades at $14.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.39, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $86.08 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $14.03 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.33, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Central Puerto S.A. generated revenue of $1.2T at a net margin of 36.7%. Revenue grew 63.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at $455B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.87 (bear case) to $41.56 (bull case); at $14.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 60%, CEPU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.43 per share, which is 6.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($86.08) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0868). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants.
Full company description
Central Puerto S.A. engages in the electric power generation activities in Argentina. It operates in three segments: Electric Power Generation From Conventional Sources, Electric Power Generation From Renewable Sources and Forest Activity, and Management and Operations of Thermal Plants. The company's power generation assets include combined cycle, gas and steam turbine, co-generation, hydroelectric, wind turbines, and solar panels. It also engages in the natural gas transport and distribution; forestry; and mining businesses. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Central Puerto S.A. reported revenue of 1.3T ARS in FY2025 versus 346B ARS in FY2021, a compound +38.6%/yr. Reported net income was 404B ARS in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $83.47 | $32.94 | −61% |
| The Southern Company SO | $88.25 | $58.81 | −33% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $120.25 | $74.89 | −38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | $80.68 | $63.94 | −21% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $122.96 | $77.23 | −37% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $66.01 | $46.34 | −30% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $105.75 | $52.92 | −50% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $76.34 | $44.61 | −42% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $43.96 | $37.60 | −14% |
| Endesa, S.A ELE | €42.30 | €25.72 | −39% |
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