Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 23.9B SEK (≈ $2.5B) · ISIN SE0025010671
What is Bufab Holding AB really worth?
A solid business, but trading 144% above our fair value of kr 56.21.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 73.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 29.39 to kr 73.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 36.90 – kr 139.40 · fair‑value band kr 29.39 – kr 73.64 · the kr 137.20 price screens above the kr 56.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Bufab Holding AB (BUFAB) currently trades at kr 137.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 56.21, implying the stock looks roughly 144.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 68.86 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 137.20 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 14.22, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bufab Holding AB generated revenue of 8.1B SEK at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. Net debt stands at 3.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 29.39 (bear case) to kr 73.64 (bull case); at kr 137.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −59%, BUFAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.44 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 68.86) versus Asset-Based (kr 14.22). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Bufab AB (publ), a trading company, provides solutions for procurement, quality assurance, and logistics for c-parts and technical components in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers C-parts, such as bolts, screws, nails, pins, clamps, rivets, nuts and washers, as well as other small metal and rubber or plastic parts, including cables, springs, and electronic fasteners. It also provides machining, turning, cold-formed parts, hot-forged parts; access hardware comprising hinges, locks, and latches; casted parts; magnets; sheet metal; tools and equipment; and wire products. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of security labels, industrial labels, masking and insulators, foams and gaskets, polyamide labels for SMT, labels for wires and cables, decal and membrane, and adhesive transfer tapes services; and magnet services, such as magnetization, assembly, bonding of magnets, and packaging. Further, it provides stainless steel fasteners under the BUMAX brand. The company serves aerospace, agricultural, automotive, construction, defense, energy, furniture and interior, general, pharma and biopharma, and railway industries. The company was formerly known as Bufab Holding AB (publ) and changed its name to Bufab AB (publ) in June 2015. Bufab AB (publ) was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bufab Holding AB reported revenue of 8.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 5.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 626M SEK in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.2 % · buybacks/dilution −9.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BUFAB screens 144% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,306 | $613.88 | −53% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $51.14 | $20.64 | −60% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $245.18 | $148.98 | −39% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $347.60 | $213.01 | −39% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $313.05 | $251.37 | −20% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$199.59 | C$127.90 | −36% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $319.11 | $191.65 | −40% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$93.86 | C$76.38 | −19% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 344.00 | kr 156.35 | −55% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $45.45 | $49.47 | +9% |
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