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Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $12.2B · ISIN US03820C1053

What is Applied Industrial Technologies really worth?

AI Applied Industrial Technologies logo Applied Industrial Technologies AIT · US
Price$322.46
Fair Value$191.65
Upside−40.6%
Quality68/100

A solid business, but trading 68% above our fair value of $191.65.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.1 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100

For context

·0.59% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $129.17 – $240.80

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −9.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($240.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($129.17 to $240.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$361.95 $79.24 Fair Value $191.65 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $79.24 – $361.95 · fair‑value band $129.17 – $240.80 · the $322.46 price screens above the $191.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) currently trades at $322.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $191.65, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $189.41 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $322.46 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $24.36, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Applied Industrial Technologies generated revenue of $4.8B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at $184M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $129.17 (bear case) to $240.80 (bull case); at $322.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −41%, AIT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.68 per share, which is 4.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $132.16 $198.33 $294.98 80
Growth DCF $135.60 $196.02 $279.94 78
Owner Earnings $120.69 $181.32 $269.89 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $132.16 $198.33 $294.98 80
Owner Earnings $120.69 $181.32 $269.89 76
5Y Revenue Exit $118.44 $183.50 $264.26 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $127.46 $199.84 $281.46 75
5Y P/E Exit $138.77 $220.31 $302.87 71
10Y Revenue Exit $118.65 $178.26 $253.63 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $127.92 $189.41 $266.37 68
10Y P/E Exit $135.04 $203.37 $282.23 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $72.30 $189.01 $246.60 65
PEG = 1.0 $36.02 $51.46 $66.90 57
EPV $95.66 $112.44 $127.11 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.83 $31.93 $52.20 66
DDM Multi-Stage $15.83 $24.36 $33.51 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $167.47 $223.29 $279.11 63
P/S Multiple $135.57 $180.76 $225.95 58
P/B Multiple $135.57 $180.76 $225.95 55
EV/EBIT $167.00 $224.33 $281.66 66
EV/EBITDA $142.49 $191.65 $240.80 67
EV/Revenue $117.77 $170.38 $222.98 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.95 $33.44 $49.91 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $135.60 $196.02 $279.94 78
Rev-Margin DCF $118.44 $184.66 $257.62 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $70.86 $97.63 $493.69 64
ROIC Compounder $100.95 $126.58 $155.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $130.81 $186.87 $242.94 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($189.41) versus Dividend Discount ($24.36). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 30.5
P/S ratio 2.63 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $10.56 price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.5
Dividend yield 0.6% payout 17.9%
Net margin 8.6% FY2025
Return on equity 21.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $4.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3% 3y avg +6.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $465M FY2025
Net debt $184M FY2025 · ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technology solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Costa Rica. It operates in two segments, Service Center and Engineered Solutions.

Full company description

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technology solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Costa Rica. It operates in two segments, Service Center and Engineered Solutions. The Service Center segment distributes industrial bearings, power transmission, fluid power components and systems, specialty flow control, and advanced factory automation solutions, as well as general maintenance products; and motors, belting, drives, couplings, pumps, linear motion, hydraulic and pneumatic components, filtration supplies, hoses, and other related supplies. It also installs, modifies, and repairs conveyor belts and rubber linings, as well as hose assemblies. The Engineered Solutions segment is involved in distributing, engineering, designing, integrating, and repairing hydraulic and pneumatic fluid power technologies, engineered flow control products and services, and automation technologies; and provision of fluid power and industrial flow control products. Its fluid power products and solutions are used in off-highway mobile equipment, stationary industrial equipment and machines, marine and offshore equipment, factory automation, food processing equipment, packaging operations, and downstream energy process systems. This segment also offers pumps, valves, fittings, hoses, process instrumentation, actuators, and filtration supplies; and advanced automation technologies for the design, engineering, assembly, integration, and distribution of machine vision, collaborative robots, mobile robots, radio-frequency identification, industrial networking, motion control, and machine learning technologies for OEMs, machine builders, integrators, and other industrial and technology sectors. The company was formerly known as Bearings, Inc. and changed its to name to Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. in 1997. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Applied Industrial Technologies reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $393M in FY2025, compounding +28.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.6B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+18.3% (17.7 + 0.6)
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $4.5B
FY25 $4.6B
Net income +28.4%/yr
FY21 $145M
FY22 $257M
FY23 $347M
FY24 $386M
FY25 $393M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +18.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.9 %

of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %

EBIT margin +7.6 %
Tax rate +2.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AIT screens 68% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Applied Industrial Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 112 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 26.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE37 · sector 18
PAST88 · sector 35
HEALTH85 · sector 91
DIVIDEND12 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,306 $613.88 −53%
Fastenal Company FAST $51.14 $20.64 −60%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $245.18 $148.98 −39%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $347.60 $213.01 −39%
Watsco, Inc WSO $313.05 $251.37 −20%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$199.59 C$127.90 −36%
Finning International Inc FTT C$93.86 C$76.38 −19%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 344.00 kr 156.35 −55%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $45.45 $49.47 +9%
Indutrade AB INDT kr 249.60 kr 147.56 −41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $191.65 versus a price of $322.46, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIT?
Our model-based fair value for Applied Industrial Technologies is $191.65 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $322.46.
What is the quality score of AIT?
Applied Industrial Technologies has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT)?
Applied Industrial Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIT?
The net profit margin of Applied Industrial Technologies is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Applied Industrial Technologies pay a dividend?
Applied Industrial Technologies currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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