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Badger Meter, Inc (BMI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.4B

BM Badger Meter, Inc logo Badger Meter, Inc BMI · US
Price$130.43
Fair Value$135.41
Upside+3.8%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.02% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $85.54 – $169.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $97.06 to $135.41 (+39.5%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −7.8% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($85.54 to $169.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$251.52 $71.41 Fair Value $135.41 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $71.41 – $251.52 · fair‑value band $85.54 – $169.85 · the $130.43 price screens below the $135.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Badger Meter, Inc (BMI) currently trades at $130.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $135.41, implying the stock looks roughly 3.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Badger Meter, Inc generated revenue of $897M at a net margin of 14.6%. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $226M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $85.54 (bear case) to $169.85 (bull case); at $130.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 4%, BMI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $73.03 $105.50 $151.27 80
Residual Income $30.44 $40.18 $144.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF $66.15 $101.76 $144.08 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $72.52 $110.27 $167.51 38
Owner Earnings $69.66 $105.75 $160.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit $66.15 $101.81 $147.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $89.04 $145.71 $213.15 41
5Y P/E Exit $89.65 $146.90 $208.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit $66.13 $99.15 $144.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $82.25 $129.36 $194.55 37
10Y P/E Exit $82.64 $130.18 $190.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $33.00 $115.59 $155.44 54
Lynch FV $26.94 $38.48 $50.03 50
PEG = 1.0 $26.94 $38.48 $50.03 46
EPV $50.23 $56.94 $62.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $13.10 $26.10 $39.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage $13.10 $22.49 $27.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $101.91 $135.88 $169.85 63
P/S Multiple $61.87 $82.50 $103.12 58
P/B Multiple $61.87 $82.50 $103.12 55
EV/EBIT $120.87 $158.58 $196.28 53
EV/EBITDA $108.58 $142.20 $175.81 54
EV/Revenue $64.93 $89.44 $113.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.22 $16.37 $24.44 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $73.03 $105.50 $151.27 80
Rev-Margin DCF $66.15 $101.76 $144.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $30.44 $40.18 $144.81 76
ROIC Compounder $53.54 $65.06 $78.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $85.22 $121.75 $158.27 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($121.75) versus Asset-Based ($16.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $897M
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net margin 14.6%
Return on equity 19.6%
Free cash flow $170M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.9
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) $4.36
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.5%
Net cash $226M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Badger Meter, Inc. manufactures and markets flow measurement, quality, control, and communication solutions worldwide. The company offers Utility water smart metering solutions and software technologies and services to municipal water utility market.

Full company description

Badger Meter, Inc. manufactures and markets flow measurement, quality, control, and communication solutions worldwide. The company offers Utility water smart metering solutions and software technologies and services to municipal water utility market. It also provides flow instrumentation products, including meters, valves, and other sensing instruments to measure and control fluids, including water, air, steam, and other liquids and gases to original equipment manufacturers as the primary flow measurement device within a product or system, as well as through manufacturers' representatives. In addition, the company offers ORION Cellular endpoints to power network as a service; ORION mobile read endpoints support for deploying AMR solution; radio products; hardware, instruments, and sensors, and related software, to enhance connected data to a water utility's operation; water quality monitoring solutions, including optical sensing and electrochemical instruments; and high frequency pressure and leak detection sensors to aid in burst pipe and leak events; as well as BEACON, a secure cloud-hosted software suite that establishes alerts for specific conditions and allows consumer engagement tools that permit end water user to view and manage their water usage activity. Its flow instrumentation products are used in water/wastewater, heating, ventilating and air conditioning, and corporate sustainability markets. The company serves water utilities, commercial, and industrial industries; and provides training, project management, technical support, and other collaborative services for customers. It sells its products and software to employees, resellers, and representatives. The company was incorporated in 1905 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Badger Meter, Inc reported revenue of $917M in FY2025 versus $505M in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $142M in FY2025, compounding +23.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$917M
Latest YoY
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 $505M
FY22 $566M
FY23 $704M
FY24 $827M
FY25 $917M
Net income +23.5%/yr
FY21 $60.9M
FY22 $66.5M
FY23 $92.6M
FY24 $125M
FY25 $142M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.6 pp

of which total revenue +8.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin +4.9 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Badger Meter, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BMI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +4% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.87× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 38 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 28
PAST 78 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 19

Insider activity: 90/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Badger Meter, Inc (BMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $135.41 versus a price of $130.43, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BMI?
Our model-based fair value for Badger Meter, Inc is $135.41 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $130.43.
What is the quality score of BMI?
Badger Meter, Inc has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Badger Meter, Inc (BMI)?
Badger Meter, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $897M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BMI?
The net profit margin of Badger Meter, Inc is about 14.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Badger Meter, Inc pay a dividend?
Badger Meter, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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