Barclays PLC (BCSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · MX · Market cap 1.6T MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 647.61 MXN to 332.60 MXN (−48.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +12.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (415.75 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 104.80 MXN – 492.99 MXN · fair‑value band 249.45 MXN – 415.75 MXN · the 475.00 MXN price screens above the 332.60 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Barclays PLC (BCSN) currently trades at 475.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 332.60 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Barclays PLC generated revenue of 27.1B MXN at a net margin of 26.8%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 17.6B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 249.45 MXN (bear case) to 415.75 MXN (bull case); at 475.00 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 78% fair-value upside, at -30%, BCSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (27.65 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (9.58 MXN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Barclays PLC provides various financial services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The company operates through Barclays UK; Barclays UK Corporate Bank; Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management; Barclays Investment Bank; and Barclays US Consumer Bank segments.
Full company description
Barclays PLC provides various financial services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Americas, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. The company operates through Barclays UK; Barclays UK Corporate Bank; Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management; Barclays Investment Bank; and Barclays US Consumer Bank segments. It offers financial services, such as current accounts, savings accounts, mortgages and unsecured lending, such as credit cards and loans retail banking, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management, and investment management services, as well as lending products. In addition, the company engages in securities dealing activities and issuing of credit cards. The company was formerly known as Barclays Bank public limited company and changed its name to Barclays PLC in January 1985. Barclays PLC was founded in 1690 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Barclays PLC reported revenue of 29.1B MXN in FY2025 versus 21.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was 7.2B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
BCSN screens 30% overvalued. Compare with JPMorgan Chase & Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- What happens to stocks when the Fed starts hiking? Barclays weighs in
- Barclays, HSBC Say Warsh Boosts Case for Inflation-Linked Bonds
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM | $365.18 | $217.97 | -40% |
| Bank of America Corporation BAC | $64.81 | $50.87 | -22% |
| China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 | ¥10.24 | ¥18.21 | +78% |
| Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited 601398 | ¥7.52 | ¥14.44 | +92% |
| HSBC Holdings HBCN | 1,610 MXN | 1,364 MXN | -15% |
| Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 | ¥6.56 | ¥12.94 | +97% |
| Bank of China Limited 601988 | ¥5.83 | ¥11.24 | +93% |
| Banco Santander, S.A SAN | 55.29 PLN | 31.78 PLN | -43% |
| UBS Group UBSN | 939.75 MXN | 565.49 MXN | -40% |
| Bank of Communications Co 601328 | ¥6.91 | ¥13.82 | +100% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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