BASF SE (BASN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 915B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 532.13 MXN to 467.04 MXN (−12.2%) since Jul 18, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (513.84 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 633.03 MXN – 1,231 MXN · fair‑value band 382.77 MXN – 513.84 MXN · the 1,034 MXN price screens above the 467.04 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
BASF SE (BASN) currently trades at 1,034 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 467.04 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, BASF SE generated revenue of 59.2B MXN at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at 19.0B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 382.77 MXN (bear case) to 513.84 MXN (bull case); at 1,034 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -55%, BASN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (582.54 MXN) versus Earnings-Based (21.34 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates.
Full company description
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates. The Materials segment offers advanced materials and their precursors for applications and systems comprising isocyanates, polyamides, and inorganic basic products, as well as specialties for the plastics and plastics processing industries. The Industrial Solutions segment develops and markets ingredients and additives for industrial applications, such as polymer dispersions, resins, additives, chemical and refining catalysts, electronic materials, and antioxidants for automotive, petrochemical and petroleum processing, plastics and electronics, construction, electronics, paper coatings, and energy and resources industries. The Surface Technologies segment provides catalysts, battery materials, automotive OEM and refinish coatings, surface treatment, and precious and base metal services for the automotive and chemical industries. The Nutrition & Care segment offers ingredients for consumer applications in the areas of nutrition, home, and personal care applications; and serves the food and feed producers, pharmaceutical, cosmetics, detergents, and cleaner industries, as well as the consumer goods sector. The Agricultural Solutions segment provides seeds and traits, and seed treatment products; fungicides, herbicides, insecticides, and biological crop protection products; and digital solutions. The company engages in engineering and other; rental and leasing; and renewable energy trading, commodity trading activities. BASF SE was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BASF SE reported revenue of 59.7B MXN in FY2025 versus 78.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B MXN in FY2025, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2021.
BASN screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group →
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥23.43 | ¥20.17 | -14% |
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| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,357 | ₹2,146 | -74% |
| Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 | ₹209.25 | ₹80.51 | -62% |
| Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR | ₹1,718 | ₹679.17 | -60% |
| KCC Corporation 002380 | 454,000 KRW | 1,763,304 KRW | +288% |
| Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals Corporation DEEPAKFERT | ₹1,456 | ₹990.72 | -32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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