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A10 Network (ATEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US0021211018

What is A10 Network really worth?

AN A10 Network logo A10 Network ATEN · US
Price$24.71
Fair Value$11.91
Upside−51.8%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 107% above our fair value of $11.91.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100

For context

·0.97% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $7.31 – $17.27

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −19.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.31 to $17.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$38.11 $9.18 Fair Value $11.91 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.18 – $38.11 · fair‑value band $7.31 – $17.27 · the $24.71 price screens above the $11.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

A10 Network (ATEN) currently trades at $24.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.91, implying the stock looks roughly 107.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $13.74 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $24.71 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.97, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, A10 Network generated revenue of $299M at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.4%. Net debt stands at $151M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.31 (bear case) to $17.27 (bull case); at $24.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −52%, ATEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2514 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $7.44 $12.02 $18.57 79
Growth DCF $7.61 $11.71 $17.25 78
Owner Earnings $3.35 $5.96 $9.69 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.44 $12.02 $18.57 79
Owner Earnings $3.35 $5.96 $9.69 74
5Y Revenue Exit $5.00 $8.36 $12.51 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.93 $13.74 $20.37 74
5Y P/E Exit $8.30 $14.42 $20.70 70
10Y Revenue Exit $5.67 $8.86 $12.90 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.65 $12.48 $18.67 67
10Y P/E Exit $7.88 $12.94 $18.92 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.98 $11.27 $14.85 65
Lynch FV $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.29 $3.28 $4.26 57
EPV $2.60 $3.34 $3.97 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.12 $4.22 $6.39 67
DDM Multi-Stage $2.12 $3.31 $4.46 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.29 $16.39 $20.48 63
P/S Multiple $7.46 $9.95 $12.44 58
P/B Multiple $7.46 $9.95 $12.44 55
EV/EBIT $9.74 $13.66 $17.59 65
EV/EBITDA $9.57 $13.45 $17.33 67
EV/Revenue $3.91 $6.46 $9.01 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $1.97 $2.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.61 $11.71 $17.25 78
Rev-Margin DCF $5.00 $8.46 $12.37 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.63 $4.70 $15.15 64
ROIC Compounder $2.60 $3.53 $4.77 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.62 $13.74 $17.86 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($13.74) versus Asset-Based ($1.97). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 40.5
P/S ratio 5.87 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.6100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.5
Dividend yield 1.0% payout 39.3%
Net margin 14.5% FY2025
Return on equity 21.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $299M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4% 3y avg +1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $64.8M FY2025
Net debt $151M FY2025 · ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Full company description

A10 Networks, Inc. provides secure application and network infrastructure solutions in the United States, the rest of Americas, Japan, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers security products, such as ThreatX, a web application protection platform; A10 Defend DDoS Detector, a network-wide anomaly detection product; A10 Defend DDoS Orchestrator, a defense, orchestration, and management product; A10 Defend DDoS Mitigator, a mitigation product with automation; A10 Defend Threat Control, an attack SaaS platform; and Defend Next-Gen WAF, an integrated application delivery and web application firewall. It also provides infrastructure products, including A10 Thunder ADC, an application delivery controller and load balancer; A10 Thunder CFW, a consolidated network security platform with stateful firewall, IPsec VPN, CGN, ADC, SSLi, and secure web gateway; A10 Thunder CGN, a NAT, IPv4 preservation and IPv6 migration product; and SSL insight in Thunder CFW, a TLS and SSL decryption for real-time visibility into encryption traffic under the SSLi brand. In addition, the company provides centralized management and analytics comprising A10 Control, a centralized, management, control, and analytics platform for agile operations and automation. It serves telecommunications, technology, financial services, public sector, industrial, retail, gaming, and education industries through distribution channels, distributors, value added resellers, and system integrators. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

A10 Network reported revenue of $291M in FY2025 versus $250M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $42.1M in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$291M
Latest YoY
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.1% (13.1 + 1.0)
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 $250M
FY22 $280M
FY23 $252M
FY24 $262M
FY25 $291M
Net income −18.4%/yr
FY21 $94.9M
FY22 $46.9M
FY23 $40.0M
FY24 $50.1M
FY25 $42.1M

ATEN screens 107% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "A10 Network Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATEN

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 12.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 41.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 14.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE67 · sector 50
PAST86 · sector 15
HEALTH48 · sector 98
DIVIDEND19 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $480.35 $365.74 −24%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $151.94 $117.84 −22%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $166.00 $61.46 −63%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $442.61 $101.19 −77%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 −36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $105.26 $71.79 −32%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $190.64 $154.83 −19%
Adyen N.V ADYEN €1,007 €707.53 −30%
MongoDB, Inc MDB $440.58 $93.91 −79%
Okta, Inc OKTA $166.23 $30.50 −82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is A10 Network (ATEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.91 versus a price of $24.71, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATEN?
Our model-based fair value for A10 Network is $11.91 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $24.71.
What is the quality score of ATEN?
A10 Network has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of A10 Network (ATEN)?
A10 Network reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $299M (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATEN?
The net profit margin of A10 Network is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does A10 Network pay a dividend?
A10 Network currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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