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Alleima AB (publ) (ALLEI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 24.8B SEK (≈ $2.6B) · ISIN SE0017615644

What is Alleima AB (publ) really worth?

AA Alleima AB (publ) ALLEI · ST
Pricekr 118.50
Fair Valuekr 61.11
Upside−48.4%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 94% above our fair value of kr 61.11.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100

For context

·2.11% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 45.83 – kr 76.38

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from kr 45.60 to kr 61.11 (+34.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 76.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

kr 122.40 kr 30.93 Fair Value kr 61.11 Aug 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range kr 30.93 – kr 122.40 · fair‑value band kr 45.83 – kr 76.38 · the kr 118.50 price screens above the kr 61.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Alleima AB (publ) (ALLEI) currently trades at kr 118.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 61.11, implying the stock looks roughly 93.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 51.48 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 118.50 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 25.86, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alleima AB (publ) generated revenue of 18.1B SEK at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 831M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 45.83 (bear case) to kr 76.38 (bull case); at kr 118.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −48%, ALLEI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 37.76 kr 50.31 kr 74.55 80
Growth DCF kr 39.24 kr 51.48 kr 73.21 79
Owner Earnings kr 24.82 kr 32.57 kr 47.54 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 37.76 kr 50.31 kr 74.55 80
Owner Earnings kr 24.82 kr 32.57 kr 47.54 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 36.42 kr 51.24 kr 73.17 73
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 48.02 kr 71.11 kr 102.22 75
5Y P/E Exit kr 34.98 kr 48.77 kr 65.58 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 35.75 kr 47.73 kr 60.93 68
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 43.75 kr 60.40 kr 78.79 69
10Y P/E Exit kr 35.79 kr 46.15 kr 56.27 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 18.24 kr 25.86 kr 30.30 67
EPV kr 28.49 kr 32.59 kr 36.18 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 63
P/S Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 58
P/B Multiple kr 34.20 kr 45.60 kr 57.00 55
EV/EBIT kr 43.65 kr 56.90 kr 70.15 66
EV/EBITDA kr 62.63 kr 82.21 kr 101.79 67
EV/Revenue kr 38.35 kr 53.11 kr 67.87 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 33.01 kr 44.24 kr 66.02 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 39.24 kr 51.48 kr 73.21 79
Rev-Margin DCF kr 36.42 kr 52.02 kr 71.45 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 49.29 kr 48.87 kr 44.17 76
ROIC Compounder kr 28.49 kr 32.59 kr 36.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 24.36 kr 34.81 kr 45.25 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 51.48) versus Earnings-Based (kr 25.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 52.2
P/S ratio 1.88 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 2.27 price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.2
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 110%
Net margin 3.6% FY2025
Return on equity 3.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 18.1B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −11.1% 3y avg +0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −26.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 858M SEK FY2025
Net cash 831M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Alleima AB (publ) manufactures and sells stainless steels, special alloys, medical wires and components, and electric heating systems in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Tube, Kanthal, and Strip.

Full company description

Alleima AB (publ) manufactures and sells stainless steels, special alloys, medical wires and components, and electric heating systems in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Tube, Kanthal, and Strip. The company offers tubes for extraction and production of oil and gas, advanced stainless steel, umbilical tubes, control lines, corrosion-resistant alloys, and oil country tubular goods; solid and hollow bar, high-pressure and composite tubing, semi-finished ingots and blooms, and billets; hydraulic and instrumentation tubing, heat exchangers tubing, process piping, high-temperature applications, and high-pressure equipment for chemical and petrochemical processes; metallic and ceramic heating elements, and diffusion cassettes; and lithium-ion batteries, ceramics and steels, and various electronic appliances. It also provides stainless steel for razor blades, knives, cutting tools, compressor valve steel, and heating material; ultra fine wire and wire based components for glucose monitors, pacemakers, neurostimulation, precision strip steel, and small diameter tubing; stainless steel and titan tubes for use in aircraft hydraulic systems and jet engines, as well as gasoline direct injection tubes for cars and trucks; drill steel for hydraulic rock drilling rigs in mines and infrastructure construction works; steam generator tubing; cladding tubes; nuclear tubes and pipes; and tubes for hydrogen applications, concentrated solar power, geothermal energy, bioenergy and biofuels, offshore wind, carbon capture and storage, and coated strip steel for fuel cells and electrolyzers. The company serves oil and gas, industrial, chemical and petrochemical, industrial heating, medical, transportation, mining and construction, nuclear, and hydrogen and renewable energy industries. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Sandviken, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alleima AB (publ) reported revenue of 18.6B SEK in FY2025 versus 13.8B SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 671M SEK in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.6B SEK
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+2.3% (0.2 + 2.1)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 13.8B SEK
FY22 18.4B SEK
FY23 20.7B SEK
FY24 19.7B SEK
FY25 18.6B SEK
Net income −13.6%/yr
FY21 1.2B SEK
FY22 1.5B SEK
FY23 1.6B SEK
FY24 1.2B SEK
FY25 671M SEK

ALLEI screens 94% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alleima AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLEI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Steel · 398 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth −11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 12
FUTURE0 · sector 2
PAST14 · sector 16
HEALTH97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND42 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $250.50 $116.05 −54%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €64.60 €46.04 −29%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 −14%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $234.67 $127.14 −46%
500228 500228 ₹1,292 ₹1,079 −16%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.80 ₹145.39 −22%
Reliance, Inc RS $387.59 $217.81 −44%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.91 ¥8.07 +37%
POSCO Holdings PKX $63.13 $85.21 +35%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 −61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alleima AB (publ) (ALLEI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 61.11 versus a price of kr 118.50, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLEI?
Our model-based fair value for Alleima AB (publ) is kr 61.11 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 118.50.
What is the quality score of ALLEI?
Alleima AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alleima AB (publ) (ALLEI)?
Alleima AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.1B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALLEI?
The net profit margin of Alleima AB (publ) is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alleima AB (publ) pay a dividend?
Alleima AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 17, 2026).
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