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Jindal Steel Limited (JINDALSTEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T

JS Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL · NSE
Price₹1,092
Fair Value₹516.27
Upside-52.7%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.19% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ₹383.48 – ₹671.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹545.12 to ₹516.27 (−5.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹671.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,289 ₹302.80 Fair Value ₹516.27 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹302.80 – ₹1,289 · fair‑value band ₹383.48 – ₹671.15 · the ₹1,092 price screens above the ₹516.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jindal Steel Limited (JINDALSTEL) currently trades at ₹1,092, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹516.27, implying the stock looks roughly 52.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jindal Steel Limited generated revenue of ₹532B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at ₹185B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹383.48 (bear case) to ₹671.15 (bull case); at ₹1,092, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -53%, JINDALSTEL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹405.57 ₹424.55 ₹454.53 76
ROIC Compounder ₹382.36 ₹476.64 ₹650.75 72
Gordon GGM ₹19.31 ₹42.15 ₹70.92 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹225.05 ₹940.37 ₹1,282 54
Lynch FV ₹238.15 ₹340.22 ₹442.28 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹238.15 ₹340.22 ₹442.28 46
EPV ₹382.36 ₹476.64 ₹560.44 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹19.31 ₹42.15 ₹70.92 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹19.31 ₹34.53 ₹43.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹421.96 ₹562.62 ₹703.27 63
P/S Multiple ₹421.96 ₹562.62 ₹703.27 58
P/B Multiple ₹421.96 ₹562.62 ₹703.27 55
EV/EBIT ₹517.67 ₹740.85 ₹964.03 53
EV/EBITDA ₹560.14 ₹797.48 ₹1,035 54
EV/Revenue ₹397.38 ₹632.78 ₹868.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹250.12 ₹335.16 ₹500.24 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹405.57 ₹424.55 ₹454.53 76
ROIC Compounder ₹382.36 ₹476.64 ₹650.75 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹361.39 ₹516.27 ₹671.15 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹562.62) versus Dividend Discount (₹34.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹532B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.0%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow −₹43.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 33.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹33.08
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -80.1%
Net debt ₹185B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jindal Steel Limited operates in the steel, mining, and infrastructure sectors in India and internationally. It offers rails; medium and heavy hot-rolled parallel flange beams and column sections; plates and coils; angles and channels; cold heading quality, electrode quality, and high carbon wire rods; round bars; fabricated sections; Jindal Speedfloor …

Full company description

Jindal Steel Limited operates in the steel, mining, and infrastructure sectors in India and internationally. It offers rails; medium and heavy hot-rolled parallel flange beams and column sections; plates and coils; angles and channels; cold heading quality, electrode quality, and high carbon wire rods; round bars; fabricated sections; Jindal Speedfloor concrete flooring solutions; Jindal Panther TMT rebars; semi-finished products, including slabs, billets, blooms, beam blank, and rounds; and Jindal Panther cement comprising Portland slag cement, Portland composite cement, and ground-granulated blast-furnace slag, as well as rockhard plates, cathode bards, and track shoes. The company also operates and maintains a total captive power plant capacity of 1,634 megawatts. In addition, it operates coal and iron ore mines located at various locations in India, Australia, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Jindal Steel & Power Limited and changed its name to Jindal Steel Limited in July 2025. Jindal Steel Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Jindal Steel Limited reported revenue of ₹532B in FY2026 versus ₹511B in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹33.7B in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹532B
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Revenue +1.0%/yr
FY22 ₹511B
FY23 ₹527B
FY24 ₹500B
FY25 ₹498B
FY26 ₹532B
Net income −12.5%/yr
FY22 ₹57.5B
FY23 ₹31.7B
FY24 ₹59.4B
FY25 ₹28.1B
FY26 ₹33.7B

JINDALSTEL screens 53% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jindal Steel Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JINDALSTEL

Peer Group

Steel · 382 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 4
PAST 27 · sector 16
HEALTH 81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.74 ¥8.07 +41%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jindal Steel Limited (JINDALSTEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹516.27 versus a price of ₹1,092, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JINDALSTEL?
Our model-based fair value for Jindal Steel Limited is ₹516.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,092.
What is the quality score of JINDALSTEL?
Jindal Steel Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jindal Steel Limited (JINDALSTEL)?
Jindal Steel Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹532B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JINDALSTEL?
The net profit margin of Jindal Steel Limited is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jindal Steel Limited pay a dividend?
Jindal Steel Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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