Alfa Laval AB (ALFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 231B SEK (≈ $24.2B) · ISIN SE0000695876
What is Alfa Laval AB really worth?
A solid business, but trading 49% above our fair value of kr 372.32.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 525.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 222.76 to kr 525.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 218.81 – kr 588.80 · fair‑value band kr 222.76 – kr 525.35 · the kr 555.80 price screens above the kr 372.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Alfa Laval AB (ALFA) currently trades at kr 555.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 372.32, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 373.01 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 555.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 70.37, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alfa Laval AB generated revenue of 69.1B SEK at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. Net debt stands at 13.9B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 222.76 (bear case) to kr 525.35 (bull case); at kr 555.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −33%, ALFA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 7.29 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 373.01) versus Asset-Based (kr 70.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean.
Full company description
Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. It offers ballast water management systems; oil/gas-fired steam and composite steam boilers, exhaust gas economizers, electric steam boilers, and exhaust gas steam boilers; and exhaust gas cleaning products, as well as decanters and separators. The company also provides sensing and control, cleaning validation, and condition monitoring automation products; hygienic fittings, hygienic tubes, ultrapure fittings, and ultrapure tubes; agitators, tank mixers, and powder mixers; and centrifugal pumps, circumferential piston pumps, rotary lobe pumps, twin screws, three screw pumps, gear pumps, and reciprocating pumps. In addition, it offers rotary jet heads, rotary spray heads, wall mounted cleaning devices for tank cleaning, and static spray balls; and tank covers and accessories, as well as valves. Further, the company provides plate heat exchangers, air cooled heat exchangers, scraped surface heat exchangers, and tubular heat exchangers. It serves energy and utilities, home and personal care, food, dairy and beverage, marine and transportation, pharma and biotech, and water and wastewater industries. Alfa Laval AB (publ) was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alfa Laval AB reported revenue of 69.7B SEK in FY2025 versus 40.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was 8.3B SEK in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ALFA screens 49% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Alfa Laval Reaches Major Milestone with 100 Prodec Oil Plus Units Sold Across the U.S. Ethanol Industry
- Save the date for the Alfa Laval Capital Markets Day on 18 November 2026
- Alfa Laval AB (ALFVF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Robust Growth Across ...
- Alfa Laval AB (publ) Interim report 1 April - 30 June 2026
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €289.85 | €139.77 | −52% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $402.78 | $168.65 | −58% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $995.02 | $398.69 | −60% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $281.67 | $145.84 | −48% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $155.18 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
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