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Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 5.5B SGD (≈ $4.3B) · ISIN SG1AF6000009

What is Keppel DC REIT really worth?

KD Keppel DC REIT AJBU · SG
Price2.19 SGD
Fair Value1.43 SGD
Upside−34.8%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 53% above our fair value of 1.43 SGD.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 94.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 72/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.7 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)

For context

·5.01% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 1.28 SGD – 2.81 SGD

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.28 SGD to 2.81 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.39 SGD 1.36 SGD Fair Value 1.43 SGD Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.36 SGD – 2.39 SGD · fair‑value band 1.28 SGD – 2.81 SGD · the 2.19 SGD price screens above the 1.43 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) currently trades at 2.19 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.43 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.61 SGD per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the 2.19 SGD price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 1.07 SGD, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Keppel DC REIT generated revenue of 457M SGD at a net margin of 94.9%. Revenue grew 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at 2.0B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.28 SGD (bear case) to 2.81 SGD (bull case); at 2.19 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −35%, AJBU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.0546 SGD per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence 1.49 SGD 1.65 SGD 2.45 SGD 75
FCF DCF 0.5100 SGD 1.54 SGD 3.66 SGD 72
Growth DCF 0.4800 SGD 1.56 SGD 3.16 SGD 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.5100 SGD 1.54 SGD 3.66 SGD 72
5Y Revenue Exit 0.2900 SGD 1.10 SGD 2.22 SGD 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.28 SGD 3.24 SGD 5.83 SGD 71
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3300 SGD 1.12 SGD 2.42 SGD 60
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.01 SGD 2.71 SGD 5.54 SGD 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.7300 SGD 1.46 SGD 2.21 SGD 67
DDM Multi-Stage 0.7300 SGD 1.26 SGD 1.54 SGD 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.8800 SGD 1.17 SGD 1.47 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 2.23 SGD 2.97 SGD 3.72 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 2.49 SGD 3.55 SGD 4.62 SGD 65
EV/EBITDA 1.78 SGD 2.61 SGD 3.43 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.1900 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.9500 SGD 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8500 SGD 1.14 SGD 1.70 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4800 SGD 1.56 SGD 3.16 SGD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2900 SGD 1.07 SGD 2.11 SGD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence 1.49 SGD 1.65 SGD 2.45 SGD 75

Widest divergence: Multiples (2.61 SGD) versus Growth DCF (1.07 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.5
P/S ratio 11.2 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.1900 SGD price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5
Dividend yield 5.0% payout 57.7%
Net margin 96.9% FY2025
Return on equity 11.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 71.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 457M SGD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.5% 3y avg +16.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −0.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 224M SGD FY2025
Net debt 2.0B SGD FY2025 · ≈ 9.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Keppel DC REIT was listed on the Singapore Exchange on 12 December 2014 as the first pure-play data centre REIT in Asia.

Full company description

Keppel DC REIT was listed on the Singapore Exchange on 12 December 2014 as the first pure-play data centre REIT in Asia. Keppel DC REIT's investment strategy is to principally invest, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate assets which are used primarily for data centre purposes, as well as real estate and assets necessary to support the digital economy. Keppel DC REIT's investments comprise a mix of colocation, fully-fitted and shell and core assets, as well as debt securities, thereby reinforcing the diversity and resiliency of its portfolio. Keppel DC REIT is managed by Keppel DC REIT Management Pte. Ltd. (the Manager) and is sponsored by Keppel, a global asset manager and operator with strong expertise in sustainability-related solutions spanning the areas of infrastructure, real estate and connectivity. Keppel DC REIT was incorporated in 2011 in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keppel DC REIT reported revenue of 441M SGD in FY2025 versus 271M SGD in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 428M SGD in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
441M SGD
Latest YoY
+42.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+16.2% (11.2 + 5.0)
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 271M SGD
FY22 277M SGD
FY23 281M SGD
FY24 310M SGD
FY25 441M SGD
Net income +8.1%/yr
FY21 314M SGD
FY22 231M SGD
FY23 119M SGD
FY24 301M SGD
FY25 428M SGD

AJBU screens 53% overvalued. Compare with MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keppel DC REIT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AJBU

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Office · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 95% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 71% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.49× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 9.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.55× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 24
FUTURE73 · sector 0
PAST45 · sector 11
HEALTH75 · sector 66
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL €13.51 €5.66 −58%
BXP, Inc BXP $67.95 $53.27 −22%
Vornado Realty Trust VNORP $51.00 $40.45 −21%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE $51.63 $58.69 +14%
Gecina GFC €67.25 €75.35 +12%
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP $12.74 $3.81 −70%
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 1.27 SGD 1.14 SGD −10%
Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ $29.25 $17.46 −40%
EMBASSYRR EMBASSYRR ₹449.01 ₹134.34 −70%
Embassy Office Parks REIT owns, EMBASSY ₹435.90 ₹141.82 −67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keppel DC REIT (AJBU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.43 SGD versus a price of 2.19 SGD, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AJBU?
Our model-based fair value for Keppel DC REIT is 1.43 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.19 SGD.
What is the quality score of AJBU?
Keppel DC REIT has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Keppel DC REIT (AJBU)?
Keppel DC REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 457M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AJBU?
The net profit margin of Keppel DC REIT is about 94.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 94.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Keppel DC REIT pay a dividend?
Keppel DC REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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