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Albany International Corporation (AIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.0B · ISIN US0123481089

What is Albany International Corporation really worth?

AI Albany International Corporation logo Albany International Corporation AIN · US
Price$62.59
Fair Value$18.40
Upside−70.6%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 240% above our fair value of $18.40.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.9% net margin
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·1.76% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $10.77 – $26.03

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($26.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.77 to $26.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$108.14 $40.80 Fair Value $18.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.80 – $108.14 · fair‑value band $10.77 – $26.03 · the $62.59 price screens above the $18.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Albany International Corporation (AIN) currently trades at $62.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.40, implying the stock looks roughly 240.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $21.62 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the $62.59 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $12.12, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Albany International Corporation generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of −4.9%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −7.2%. Net debt stands at $343M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.77 (bear case) to $26.03 (bull case); at $62.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −71%, AIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $13.33 $21.62 $31.70 80
Growth DCF $13.83 $21.46 $30.38 78
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.12 $19.67 $30.07 73
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $13.33 $21.62 $31.70 80
5Y Revenue Exit $12.91 $24.57 $38.73 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.12 $19.67 $30.07 73
10Y Revenue Exit $12.23 $21.97 $33.64 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.26 $18.96 $27.94 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.90 $12.85 $16.54 69
DDM Multi-Stage $8.90 $12.12 $15.31 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $10.77 $18.40 $26.03 65
EV/Revenue $14.42 $25.78 $37.15 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.81 $17.16 $25.61 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.83 $21.46 $30.38 78
Rev-Margin DCF $12.91 $24.97 $37.70 71

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($21.62) versus Dividend Discount ($12.12). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.66 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−1.96
Dividend yield 1.8%
Net margin −4.8% FY2025
Return on equity −7.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 9.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8% 3y avg +4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −3.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $82.6M FY2025
Net debt $343M FY2025 · ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC).

Full company description

Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC). The MC segment designs, manufactures, and markets paper machine clothing for use in the manufacturing of papers, paperboard, tissues, towels, pulps, building products, tannery, and textiles, as well as nonwovens, fiber cement, and several other industrial applications. This segment offers paper machine clothing forming, pressing, and drying fabrics, as well as processing belts; and engineered fabrics. Its AEC segment 3D-woven and injected composite components for aircraft engines composite airframe and engine components for military and commercial aircraft. The company sells its products to commercial and defense markets, space-launch vehicles and the emerging advanced air mobility market, as well as to customer end-users. Albany International Corp. was incorporated in 1895 and is headquartered in Portsmouth, New Hampshire.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Albany International Corporation reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $929M in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$57.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY21 $929M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY21 $118M
FY22 $95.8M
FY23 $111M
FY24 $87.6M
FY25 −$57.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 %

of which total revenue +5.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %

EBIT margin +2.5 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AIN screens 240% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albany International Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIN

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 332 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 41.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE39 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND35 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$37.94 HK$68.35 +80%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 −36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.95 ¥14.35 +11%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,124 ₹467.49 −58%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 −83%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.89 ¥2.21 −55%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹592.75 ₹437.53 −26%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹190.40 ₹47.44 −75%
Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 ¥7.88 ¥7.87 +0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Albany International Corporation (AIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.40 versus a price of $62.59, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIN?
Our model-based fair value for Albany International Corporation is $18.40 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $62.59.
What is the quality score of AIN?
Albany International Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Albany International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIN?
The net profit margin of Albany International Corporation is about −4.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Albany International Corporation pay a dividend?
Albany International Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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